000 AXNT20 KNHC 231714 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 114 PM EDT Thu Apr 23 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Sierra Leone near 08N13W to 03N18W. The ITCZ continues from 03N18W to 00N30W to the coast of Brazil near 01S45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is along the monsoon trough from 03N- 11N between 07W-15W. Scattered moderate convection is from 01N-06N between 20W-28W. Isolated moderate convection is from 02N-06N between 28W-44W. GULF OF MEXICO... As of 23/1500 UTC, a cold front is just off the Texas coast from 30N94W to 27N97W. Scattered moderate convection is from 27N-30N between 90W-95W. 15 kt northerly winds are W of the front. 15-25 kt southerly winds are over the remainder of the Gulf of Mexico. Strongest winds are over the central Gulf where the surface pressure gradient is the tightest. A 1004 mb low is centered near Tampico Mexico. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the low. Satellite imagery shows dense smoke over the south central and southwestern Gulf, south of 26N and west of 88W. The cold front will cross the northern Gulf of Mexico through Friday. A second cold front will move into the NW Gulf Friday night, then extend from southern Florida to the SW Gulf Sunday. CARIBBEAN SEA... 15-20 kt trade winds are over the Caribbean Sea with strongest winds along the coast of N Colombia. A 1010 mb low is centered over N Colombia near 10N75W. Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the low. Scattered showers are also over Panama and Costa Rica. Elsewhere, scattered showers are over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Further S, scattered showers are over the Windward Islands. Dense smoke is noted on satellite imagery over Honduras, the Gulf of Honduras, Guatemala, the Yucatan Peninsula, and S Mexico. Strong E to SE winds will pulse at night over the Gulf of Honduras through Saturday night. A ridge across the western Atlantic will maintain fresh to strong trade winds over the south central Caribbean through Sunday. Moderate to fresh trades are expected elsewhere through Saturday. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1025 mb high is over the W Atlantic near 33N67W. A dying cold front passes through 31N53W to 23N65W. Scattered moderate convection is from 27N-32N between 50W-53W. A second dying cold front is from 31N59W to 27N70W. No significant deep convective precipitation is apparent with this front. A 1028 mb high is over the E Atlantic near 36N32W. The pair of weak cold fronts stretching across the central and western Atlantic will dissipate later today. A cold front will move off the SE U.S. coast Friday through Saturday morning. Strong to near gale force S to SW winds are expected ahead of this front north of the Bahamas through Friday. Another cold front will move off the coast of northern Florida Saturday night, then extend from near Bermuda to S Florida on Sunday. $$ Formosa