000 AXNT20 KNHC 021748 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 148 PM EDT Thu Apr 2 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES.... ...Atlantic Gale Warning... As strong closed low pressure drifts S toward Bermuda Fri and Sat, W gales are expected in the western Atlantic Fri evening into Sat morning, generally N of 30N between 64W and 67W. Seas of up to 20 ft are also forecast. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast product, under AWIPS/WMO headers MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, or at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Liberia near 07N10W to 04N20W. The ITCZ continues from 04N20W to 00N33W to the coast of Brazil near 00N49W. Scattered moderate convection is from 04N-04S between 13W-20W. Isolated moderate convection is from 01N-06N between 36W-42W. GULF OF MEXICO... The tail end of a stationary front extends from the W tip of Cuba near 22N85W to 23N88W. No precipitation is noted. A surface ridge with axis along 87W is over the Gulf of Mexico. Return surface flow along the coasts of SW Louisiana and Texas is producing scattered showers. The remainder of the Gulf has fair weather. In the upper levels zonal flow prevails. Upper level cloudiness is over the NW Gulf. The remainder of the Gulf has strong subsidence. The stationary front near the Yucatan Channel will weaken and dissipate by Sat. High pressure ridging over the Gulf will promote moderate SE winds over the basin through Sat night. Fresh to strong winds will pulse each evening N and W of the Yucatan Peninsula as a thermal trough moves NW from the Peninsula to the Gulf. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front extends from E Cuba near 21N77W to the 21N82W to the W tip of Cuba near 22N85W. Scattered showers are over E Cuba. Similar showers are over Hispaniola. Elsewhere scattered moderate convection is inland along the border of Costa Rica and Panama. The front will weaken and dissipate by Sat. Generally light to moderate winds will gradually increase this weekend as high pressure begins to rebuild over the western Atlantic. Fresh winds are likely to begin pulsing each night starting Sat night over the Gulf of Honduras and especially along the coast of Colombia. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A gale warning has been issued for the Atlantic. See above. A cold front is over the W Atlantic from 31N57W to 27N60W to the coast of E Cuba near 21N77W. Scattered moderate convection is N of 28N between 50W-58W. A 1016 mb high is over the subtropical Atlantic near 20N47W. The tail end of a cold front is over the E Atlantic from 31N28W to 26N36W. Another tail end of a cold front is over the E Atlantic from 31N24W to 23N30W. Isolated moderate convection is N of 25N between 13W-26W to include the Canary Islands. The W Atlantic cold front will slowly shift E to eventually extend from 31N43W to the Leeward Islands near 18N62W by Sun morning. Gale conditions are possible N of 29N and E of 68W Fri night through early Sat as intense low pressure centered SE of New England sinks S towards Bermuda. N swell generated by the low will produce very large seas across the SW N Atlantic waters through the weekend, then seas will gradually subside as the swell decay early next week. The E Atlantic fronts will continue to move E through Sat evening with convection. $$ Formosa