738 AXNT20 KNHC 021004 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 604 AM EDT Thu Apr 2 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0915 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES.... ...Atlantic Gale Warning... As strong closed low pressure drifts S toward Bermuda Fri and Sat, W gales are expected in the western Atlantic Fri evening into Sat morning, generally N of 29N between 62W and 68W. Seas of up to 20 ft are also forecast. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast product, under AWIPS/WMO headers MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, or at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Guinea near 10N14W to 04N19W. The ITCZ continues from 04N19W to the near the coast of Brazil near 00N46W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is located within 90 nm either side of both boundaries, with the most concentrated convection centered near 05N20W. GULF OF MEXICO... High pressure continues to build into the Gulf, with a 1017 mb center near the SE tip of Louisiana, keeping a dry airmass in place over the basin. Winds are moderate or less. SE flow is expect to develop in the W Gulf this evening and throughout the Gulf by Fri. Winds an seas will remain fairly tranquil through the weekend, expect for the evenings NW of the coast of the Yucatan, where fresh to locally strong E winds are possible. A weak cold front is likely to reach the Texas coast Sat, then stall there into the start of next week. CARIBBEAN SEA... Early this morning, a cold front that stretches across Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula is slowing down. A few showers exist along the boundary, otherwise the Caribbean is dry, due to a modest 1014 mb high pressure centered between Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. Some moderate to locally fresh trades are occurring in the SE Caribbean, others generally light to gentle winds prevail. The cold front will move through Cuba and the Cayman Islands today, then stall tonight from Haiti to Jamaica and gradually dissipate through Fri night. Winds and seas in the Caribbean will remain fairly tranquil through Sat, then freshen over the south- central Caribbean Sat night into early next week as stronger high pressure builds in from the NE. Locally strong winds are possible during the overnights starting Sat night in the Gulf of Honduras and especially the N coast of Colombia. N swell will affect the NE Caribbean passages Fri through Mon. ATLANTIC OCEAN... Across the entire Atlantic, conditions are generally stormier and windier north of 25N, while fair and tranquil conditions prevail in the 10N-25N latitude band. Gales are currently N of 32N. A cold front extends from SE of Bermuda to the Turks and Caicos and across Cuba. Scattered showers are along and within 120 nm ahead of the front. Strong SW winds are occurring ahead of this front N of 27N, with strong NW winds also occurring behind it N of 27N E of 73W. A warm front extends from a powerful low pressure N of Bermuda SE to 31N55W to 26N50w. Farther east, a cold front is located from 31N25W to 24N31W, with a secondary front behind it from 31N31W to 26N40W. Scattered showers are located N of 28N between these two fronts. Strong NW winds are occurring behind both fronts, mainly N of 24N. A 1016mb high pressure is centered near 20N52W. The W Atlantic cold front will move SE and reach just N of the Leeward Islands by Fri night. Strong SW winds and very large seas will prevail ahead of the front N of 27N this morning. Similar conditions are expected behind the front in NW winds. Gale conditions are likely N of 29N and E of 68W Fri night through early Sat as low pressure sinks S toward Bermuda. N swell will produce very large seas across the SW N Atlantic waters through the weekend, then gradually decay early next week. $$ KONARIK