000 AXNT20 KNHC 291037 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 637 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES.... ...Caribbean Gale Warning... Tight pressure gradient between low pressure centered over northern Colombia and high pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas will continue supporting nightly gales pulsing off the coast of Colombia through at Mon night. Seas may reach near 13 ft by each early morning. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast product, under AWIPS/WMO headers MIAHSFAT2/ FZNT02 KNHC, the latest Offshore Waters Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from Sierra Leone near 08N13W to 06N15W. The ITCZ then continues from 06N15W to 01N30W to the Brazilian coast near 00N46W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are located within about 120 nm either side of these boundaries. GULF OF MEXICO... Weak high pressure extends E into the NE and central Gulf early this morning. SE winds from the Yucatan Peninsula to SE Louisiana are moderate to fresh, in advance of a weak cold front that is located just off the Texas coast. Seas of 5 to 7 ft prevail over the central and W Gulf. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds are also occurring in the Florida Straits. A weak surface trough is located just W of the Yucatan Peninsula, from 22N90W to 19N92W. Aside from light showers along the frontal boundary, no convection is noted across the basin early this morning. The cold front will stall by midday off the Texas and Louisiana coasts, then lift N out of the Gulf as a warm front late tonight. Fresh to locally strong SE winds will affect waters off the N Yucatan coast this afternoon due to another surface trough developing over the peninsula. Another cold front will enter the NW Gulf early Tue morning, then track through the Gulf through late Wed. Some strong W to NW winds are possible over the NE Gulf behind the front Tue afternoon and night. CARIBBEAN SEA... Please see the Special Features section above for information on the Gale Warning off the coast of Colombia. Outside of the gale area, fresh trade winds are occurring through the central Caribbean and Windward Passage, along with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Some fast moving showers are moving through the eastern Caribbean, westward to Jamaica. High pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda will drift S and cause trades in the central Caribbean to increase to strong later today into early Mon. Seas of 7 to 9 feet can also be expected. Fresh to strong winds will pulse each evening through at least Tue over the Gulf of Honduras. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1022 mb high pressure is centered near 29N68W, between Bermuda and The Bahamas. To the east, a stationary front extends from 31N46W to 22N59W. The front is dissipating from 22N59W to the Mona Passage. To the N, a cold front has moved into the area, and resides from 31N49W to 27N58W to 31N65W. Fresh trade winds are occurring mainly S of 22N and through the Turks and Caicos Islands, along with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Fresh SW winds are also occurring N of 27N and W of 72W. Another high pressure of 1020 mb is located near 29N32W. Moderate winds are occurring to the S and E of this high. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are being observed between the Cabo Verde Islands and Senegal. The stationary front will be absorbed by the cold front by midday. The western high pressure midway between Bermuda and The Bahamas will weaken and drift south through early next week, reaching an area between the Turks and Caicos Islands and Puerto Rico by Tue night. Another cold front may reach just offshore the SE U.S. coast early Mon morning before stalling. Low pressure is likely to form along this boundary. Tue near the South Carolina or Georgia coast, causing the portion of the front S of the low to accelerate E through the middle of the week. Strong SW winds will occur ahead of this front N of 25N starting Tue night. Behind the front strong to possibly near gale force W and NW winds are likely N of 25N between 50W and 70W for the latter part of the week. $$ KONARIK