000 AXNT20 KNHC 281024 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 624 AM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES.... ...Caribbean Sea Gale Warning... Tight pressure gradient between low pressure centered over N Colombia and high pressure centered between Bermuda and The Bahamas will continue to supports nightly gales pulsing off the coast of Colombia through at least Mon night. Seas may reach near 12 ft during each early morning. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/ FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS National Hurricane Center, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Liberia near 07N11W near the border with Sierra Leone, to 05N14W, and to 04N16W. The ITCZ continues from 04N16W, to 03N18W, 01N20W, 01N23W, and to 01N32W. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is located within 90 nm either side of both the monsoon trough and the ITCZ. GULF OF MEXICO... High pressure center has shifted east of the area overnight, although it continues to dominate Gulf weather. Return SE flow in advance of a weak cold front will reach fresh to strong levels across portions of the central and western Gulf today. This front will move off the TX coast late this afternoon, then stall Sun along the N Gulf coast, and finally lift N as a warm front Mon. Another cold front will move off the TX coast Tue, then cross the N Gulf into Wed. CARIBBEAN SEA... Please see the above Special Features section for information on gales off the coast of Colombia. The strong pressure gradient mentioned above will lead to fresh to strong winds across much of the central Caribbean as well as Gulf of Honduras through at least Mon. Seas in the south-central Caribbean will reach 8 to 10 ft by Sun, when the gradient will be tightest. The pressure gradient will relax toward the middle of next week, and conditions will improve. Scattered showers are moving quickly west in the trade winds over the E Caribbean, and this pattern will prevail into early next week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front is located from 31N48W to 23N63W, with a stationary front continuing SW to Puerto Rico. Scattered thunderstorms are along the cold front. This front will move today and gradually dissipate on Sun. NW swell behind the front is leading to an area of 8 to 10 ft seas to the N of 25N. Also behind the front resides a 1020 mb high pressure centered near 28N71W. This ridge will remain in place through early next week. Farther east, a 1024 mb high pressure centers near 31N37W. This ridge is leading to moderate to fresh trade winds to the S of the ridge, leading to an area of 7 to 9 ft seas. A second cold front will move off the SE U.S. coast early on Monday. Strong SW winds are expected N of 25N, from Tuesday night into Wednesday, in advance of the next cold front. Strong NW winds are expected behind the front, with the sea heights ranging from 8 to 11 ft. $$ KONARIK