000 AXNT20 KNHC 271714 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 114 PM EDT Fri Mar 27 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES.... ...Caribbean Sea Gale Warning... Tight pressure gradient between low pressure centered over N Colombia and high pressure building S from the N Atlantic will lead to gale force NE winds starting at 28/0300 UTC between 11N and 12N between 74W and 76W, just off the N coast of Colombia. This gales will subside Sat morning but then redevelop Sat evening into Sun morning. Additional pulses of gales are possible Sun and Mon nights. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/ FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS National Hurricane Center, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of N Liberia near 07N10W to 03N15W. The ITCZ continues from 03N15W to 00N30W to the coast of Brazil near 03S39W. Scattered moderate convection is along the monsoon trough from 02N-07N between 08W-15W. Isolated moderate convection is N of the ITCZ from 01N-06N between 16W-32W. GULF OF MEXICO... A 1019 mb high pressure centered over the W Atlantic near 30N69W is producing 10-20 kt SE surface flow over the Gulf of Mexico. Weakest winds are over the NE Gulf, while strongest winds are over the W Gulf W of 90W. Radar imagery shows the Gulf is void of precipitation. In the upper levels, a ridge is over the Gulf with axis along 90W. Strong subsidence cover the Gulf. High pressure will continue to ridge across the Gulf through Sun. A cold front will just reach the NW Gulf Sat evening, then stall near the Louisiana and Texas coasts by Sun night. Ahead of the front, moderate to locally strong SE winds are expected. A stronger cold front could enter the Gulf on Tue. CARIBBEAN SEA... Please see the above Special Features section for information on gales off the coast of Colombia. The tail end of an Atlantic cold front ends over E Hispaniola near 20N70W. Scattered showers are over E Hispaniola and adjacent waters from from 16N-20N between 68W-72W. More scattered showers are over the Leeward Islands. Radar imagery also shows scattered showers over the Virgin Islands. In the upper levels, a ridge is over the W Caribbean and Central America W of 80W. The remainder of the Caribbean is under an upper level trough. Strong subsidence covers the entire Caribbean. High pressure over the W Atlantic will maintain fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean. Gale force winds will pulse along the coast of Colombia each night through Mon night. Fresh to strong winds will also pulse each night over the Gulf of Honduras. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1019 mb high pressure centered over the W Atlantic near 30N69W. A cold front is over the W Atlantic from 31N57W to 26N60W to 23N67W to E Hispaniola near 20N70W. Scattered moderate convection is N of 24N between 54W-59W. A 1025 mb high is over the E Atlantic near 32N37W. In the upper levels, an upper level trough is over the W Atlantic with axis along 60W supporting the cold front. Another small upper level trough is over the E Atlantic near the Canary Islands. The W Atlantic cold front that reaches E Hispaniola is stalling and will dissipate tonight. High pressure over the W Atlantic in the wake of the front will reside there through Sun. Another cold front will move off the SE U.S. coast Mon. $$ Formosa