000 AXNT20 KNHC 071205 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 705 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1150 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...CARIBBEAN SEA GALE WARNING... The 42-hour forecast, starting at 07/0600 UTC, from 17N to 19N between 75W and 77W, including in the Windward Passage, consists of NE gale- force winds. The sea heights will range from 8 feet to 12 feet. Expect, NE gale-force winds and sea heights ranging from 8 feet to 9 feet, from 17N to 18N between 70W and 72W, in the southern coastal waters of the Dominican Republic. A second area of gale-force winds is forecast to develop in the waters that are off the coast of Colombia, in 42 hours, from 11N to 12N between 74W and 76W. The sea heights are forecast to range from 8 feet to 10 feet. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS National Hurricane Center, for more details. ...WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN GALE WARNING... .ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N68W TO 22.5N79W. WITHIN 31N81.5W TO 31N81W TO 28N79W TO 28N80.5W NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KT, ENDING SOON. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, from the NWS National Hurricane Center, for more details. Eastern Atlantic Ocean Gale Warning: Please refer to the METEO-FRANCE High Seas Forecast, that is listed on the website: the website: www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo- marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2. Gale-force winds are forecast for the areas: AGADIR, ending soon. The Meteo-France forecast, listed under the WMO header WONT50 LFPW, or at http://www.gmdss.org/bulletins/METAREA2.HIGH_SEAS_WARNING.1920. 061920095563.txt, has these conditions prevailing through early Saturday. A third website to use as a reference is: weather.gmdss.org/ll.html, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal areas of Sierra Leone near 08N13W, to 05N18W, and 02N23W. The ITCZ continues from 02N23W, to 01N30W, to the Equator along 35W. Precipitation: Scattered moderate to strong is from 02N southward between 26W and 28W. Scattered moderate to strong is from the Equator southward to the coast of Brazil between 44W and 47W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 01N to 05N from 01W eastward. Isolated moderate is elsewhere from 08N southward. GULF OF MEXICO... The cold front has exited from the Gulf of Mexico completely. Precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds and possible rainshowers are from 22N southward. Isolated moderate elsewhere from 20N northward from 94W westward. A surface ridge passes through the easternmost parts of Texas, into the coastal waters of Texas and Mexico, continuing to the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico. High pressure will prevail across the Gulf of Mexico through the forecast period. Fresh to strong winds in the eastern waters will diminish early next week. CARIBBEAN SEA... The 42-hour forecast, starting at 07/0600 UTC, from 17N to 19N between 75W and 77W, including in the Windward Passage, consists of NE gale- force winds. The sea heights will range from 8 feet to 12 feet. Expect, NE gale-force winds and sea heights ranging from 8 feet to 9 feet, from 17N to 18N between 70W and 72W, in the southern coastal waters of the Dominican Republic. Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section. A second area of gale-force winds is forecast to develop in the waters that are off the coast of Colombia, in 42 hours, from 11N to 12N between 74W and 76W. The sea heights are forecast to range from 8 feet to 10 feet. Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section. A cold front is passing just to south of Andros Island in the NW Bahamas, through Cuba along 22N80W, into the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea near 19N85W, to the northern border of Guatemala and Honduras. Precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds and isolated moderate rainshowers are to the NW of the line that runs from 80W in Cuba, to the east central coast of Honduras. Rainshowers are possible, elsewhere, in clusters of broken low level clouds, in tradewind flow, across the area. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 07/0000 UTC, according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES, MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC, are: 0.14 in Guadeloupe. The current cold front will move SE during the weekend, before stalling from the Virgin Islands into the central Caribbean Sea on Monday. Strong winds and large seas will develop behind the front across the Caribbean Sea, with brief gale-force winds in the lee of Cuba, and off the southern coast of Hispaniola on Sunday night. Strong winds will prevail in the south central Caribbean Sea through the forecast period. The wind speeds will pulse to minimal gale-force, off the coast of Colombia, on Sunday night and on Monday night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front is about 35 nm to the east of Bermuda, passing through 28N70W, just to south of Andros Island in the NW Bahamas, through Cuba along 22N80W, into the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea near 19N85W, to the northern border of Guatemala and Honduras. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate and isolated strong are within 200 nm to the east of the cold front from 28N northward. Other rainshowers are possible within 120 nm to the east of the cold front from Cuba to 28N. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 07/0000 UTC, according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES, MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC, are: 0.20 in Bermuda. One surface trough is along 44W/45W, from 20N to 28N. Precipitation: rainshowers are possible within 75 nm on either side of the trough. A second surface trough curves along 31N33W 27N34W 21N31W. Precipitation: rainshowers are possible within 150 nm to the east of the trough. The current cold front will move SE during the weekend, before stalling and weakening in the SE waters from Sunday night through Monday. Strong winds and large seas, developing behind the front, will prevail through Tuesday, before the conditions start to improve during the middle of the next week. $$ MT