000 AXNT20 KNHC 020528 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1228 AM EST Sun Feb 2 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0510 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...EASTERN/CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN GALE WARNING... A cold front is along 27N35W 20N49W, then dissipating to 18N59W. Expect NW-to-N gale-force winds, and sea heights ranging from 11 feet to 16 feet, from 23N to 30N between 35W and 42W. The gale- force winds are forecast to slow down, to be less than gale-force, at 02/0600 UTC. ...WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN GALE WARNING... The forecast position for a cold front, at 02/0600 UTC, is: along 31N72W 22.5N79W. Expect S-to-SW gale-force winds, and sea heights ranging from 9 feet to 12 feet, from 29N to 31N between 63W and 71W. The gale-force winds are forecast to slow down, to be less than gale-force, at 03/1200 UTC, on Monday. ...CARIBBEAN SEA GALE WARNING... The 24-hour forecast, starting at 03/0000 UTC, consists of NE gale- force winds, and sea heights ranging from 8 feet to 10 feet, from 10.5N to 11.5N between 74W and 75.5W. The gale-force winds are forecast to slow down, to be less than gale-force, at 03/1200 UTC, on Monday. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, everything from the NWS National Hurricane Center, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the Prime Meridian along 04N, to 07N21W. The ITCZ continues from 07N21W to 03N27W, crossing the Equator along 38W, and to the coast of Brazil near 01S45W. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong from 06N southward between 10W and 40W. GULF OF MEXICO... The cold front from 24 hours ago has moved through the Gulf of Mexico completely. A 1027 mb high pressure center is near 24N96W. A surface ridge extends eastward, from the center, to the central part of the Florida west coast. An upper level trough extends from the Florida Big Bend to the Yucatan Peninsula. Upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers the Gulf of Mexico from 90W westward. An upper level ridge is in central Mexico. The cold front from 24 hours ago extends from the Straits of Florida to western Cuba. The high pressure, that has been building in behind the front from west to east, will continue through early next week. Fresh to strong southerly wind flow is expected from Monday through Tuesday, in the western Gulf of Mexico, in advance of the next front. The next front will enter the basin by early Wednesday. The next front will reach from the Florida Big Bend to the SW Gulf of Mexico early on Thursday. The front will push SE of the basin by the end of the week. CARIBBEAN SEA... A cold front passes through the Atlantic Ocean, through the Straits of Florida, across W Cuba, and ending in the Gulf of Honduras. Precipitation: isolated moderate to the west of the line that runs from the coast of Cuba along 80W, to the NW coast of Honduras. The current NW Caribbean Sea cold front will reach from the Windward Passage to eastern Honduras by late Sunday. The front will stall and weaken from Haiti through Grand Cayman on Monday. The front is forecast to dissipate into Tuesday. High pressure, building north of the area in the wake of the front, will support strong trade winds across the south central Caribbean Sea through the period. The wind speeds will be pulsing to gale-force off Colombia at night, beginning on Sunday night and continuing through mid week. It is possible that another cold front may approach the Yucatan Channel by the end of the week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front passes through 32N74W, to the Florida Straits, beyond W Cuba, and to the Gulf of Honduras. Precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds and isolated moderate to locally strong, within 900 nm to the east of the cold front, from 23N northward. Upper level cyclonic wind flow, with a trough, covers the area from 20N northward between 28W and 50W. A cold front passes through 32N31W to 28N34W, to 22N40W and 19N52W. The cold front is dissipating from 19N52W to 18N58W. Precipitation: Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 75 nm on either side of the line that runs from 22N38W through 28N33W, beyond 32N30W. The current western Atlantic Ocean cold front will move southeast and reach from near Bermuda to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba by early Sunday. The front will weaken from near 22N60W to near Puerto Rico early next week. The wind speeds will slow down, and the sea heights will subside, through mid week, as high pressure following the front moves eastward along 29N. Another cold front will approach from Florida toward the end of next week. $$ MT