000 AXNT20 KNHC 262341 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 641 PM EST Sun Jan 26 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2330 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough emerges offshore of Liberia near 05N09W then continues to 03N14W. The ITCZ extends from 03N14W to the coast of Brazil near 04S37W. Scattered moderate convection is from 00N- 04N between 13W-27W, and from 01S- 05N between 44W-53W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front had emerged off the coast of Texas and extends from 30N94W to 26N97W. A pre-frontal trough extends from 29N93W to 25N96W. Moderate west to northwest winds are west of the pre- frontal trough, while moderate to fresh southerly winds are between the trough and 92W. Light to moderate anticyclonic flow is over the remainder of the central and eastern Gulf around high pressure centered over the Florida's panhandle. The low will shift offshore and move across the northern and central Gulf through Mon night, reaching S Florida by early Tue while the front sags S and slowly dissipates. Another cold front will move off the Texas coast Tue night, weakening by the time it reaches the SE Gulf Wed night ahead of a third front which may impact the basin by the end of the week. CARIBBEAN SEA... Light to moderate winds dominate the Caribbean basin, except near the coast of Colombia where fresh northeasterly winds are occurring. A surface trough extends from 11N69W to 17N67W and is supporting scattered showers within 90 n mi of the trough axis. Relatively weak high pressure across the region will maintain rather quiet conditions over the forecast waters allowing for generally gentle to moderate winds, except for fresh winds near the coast of Colombia during the afternoons and night time hours through Wed, increasing to fresh to strong speeds on Thu night through Fri night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front is over the W Atlantic extending from 31N70W to 25N76W, then transitions to a stationary front to the northern coast of Cuba near 23N80W. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the front. Another cold front is over the central Atlantic extending from 31N44W to 21N56W. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of this front. A surface trough is analyzed along 54W from 15N- 20N with scattered showers. To the east, a surface ridge prevails, anchored by a 1028 mb high centered near 30N22W. The northern portion of the front will drift E and dissipate through Mon. Another cold front will move into the northern portion by Mon night, eventually stalling along 26N by mid-week and then lifting northward, with a reinforcing front dropping S Thu night and Fri. $$ ERA