974 AXNT20 KNHC 241156 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 705 AM EST Fri Jan 24 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1140 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea near 09N13W, 09N16W, and 06N20W. The ITCZ continues from 06N20W to 02N30W, crossing the Equator along 33W, to the coastal areas of Brazil near to 03S40W. Precipitation: Isolated moderate from 05N southward from 40W eastward. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low pressure center, that is near Gulfport Mississippi, to 27N90W, and to 23N96W. A surface trough continues from 23N96W, into the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico, to 18.5N95.5W. A stationary front extends from the Gulfport Mississippi 1013 mb low pressure center, to the Florida Big Bend, to north central Florida near 29N82W, and to 31N79W. Precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds and isolated moderate are to the east and southeast of the cold front, and extending to the coast of Mexico near 23N98W. The current cold front will stretch from northern Florida to Veracruz Mexico tonight, and then move SE of the Gulf of Mexico early on Sunday. The next cold front is expected to enter the NW Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, with a low pressure center developing along the front in the western Gulf of Mexico. The low pressure center will shift eastward along the front, across the basin, through Monday night. CARIBBEAN SEA... A cold front passes through 23N60W in the Atlantic Ocean, to 18N64W in the islands that are just to the east of Puerto Rico, continuing to 17N70W in the Caribbean Sea, just to the south of the Dominican Republic. A surface trough is along 18N71W, at the SW part of the Dominican Republic, to 15N72W and 12N74W. Precipitation: isolated moderate from the surface trough and cold front eastward. The weakening front that is to the S of Puerto Rico will stall and dissipate later today. Benign marine conditions will prevail during the rest of the week, as a weak pressure gradient dominates the area. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1004 mb low pressure center is near 29N61W, in the western Atlantic Ocean. An occluded front curves to 33N61W, at the triple point. A cold front extends from the triple point to 30N58W 23N60W, to 18N64W in the islands that are to the east of Puerto Rico, continuing to 17N70W in the Caribbean Sea, just to the south of the Dominican Republic. A surface trough is along 18N71W, at the SW part of the Dominican Republic, to 15N72W and 12N74W. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong within 720 nm to the east of the cold front from 22N northward. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 24/0000 UTC, according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES, MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC, are: 0.09 in Bermuda. Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the area that is from 30N northward from 30W eastward. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is near 25N34W. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the area that is to the north of the line that runs from 12N23W to 20N43W to 30N48W. Precipitation: isolated moderate from 21N to 26N between 29W and 32W. The cold front that is near Puerto Rico will stall and weaken later today. Lingering fresh northerly winds behind the front will diminish gradually today. Large seas will continue to propagate SE and subside this weekend. Another cold front will move off the SE U.S.A. coast on Saturday morning. The front will reach from Bermuda to western Cuba on Sunday, and then weaken on Monday. A weak low pressure center along a front will move across south Florida to the Bahamas early next week. $$ mt