000 AXNT20 KNHC 240600 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 105 AM EST Fri Jan 24 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0540 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...ATLANTIC OCEAN GALE WARNING... A 1004 mb low pressure center is near 29N63W, in the western Atlantic Ocean. A cold front extends from the low pressure center to 31N61W 28N59W 19N66W. The forecast is for the low pressure center to deepen during the next few days, and to move to the north of the forecast area, during the next 24 hours. Expect NE gale-force winds, and sea heights ranging from 18 feet to 25 feet, from 30N to 31N between 63W and 66W, to the west of the cold front, for the next 12 hours. A second area of gale- force winds is to the east of the cold front, SE-to-S gale-force winds and sea heights ranging from 10 feet to 15 feet, from 29N to 31N between 55W and 57W. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST: MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, the latest OFFSHORE FORECAST: MIAOFFNT3/FZNT23 KNHC, or go to the website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, the NWS National Hurricane Center, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Liberia near 05N09W, to 03N13W. The ITCZ continues from 03N13W to 01N19W 01N28W, crossing the Equator along 33W, to the coastal areas of Brazil near to 03S40W. Precipitation: Isolated moderate to the southeast of the line that runs from 10N14W to 03N40W to 03N51W, and to the south of the monsoon trough/ITCZ between 07W and 20W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front passes through S central Louisiana, to 26N94W in the W central Gulf of Mexico, to the coast of Mexico near 23N98W. A warm front passes through southern Mississippi, along the coast of Florida, to 29N82W in north central Florida. A stationary front continues from 29N82W to 29N81W, and then to 31N80W. Precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds and isolated moderate are to the east of the cold front. The current cold front will stretch from N of Tampa Bay to the Bay of Campeche on Friday evening. The front will move to the SE of the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday evening. Moderate to fresh N winds are expected behind the front. The next cold front is expected to enter the NW Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, and shifting across the basin through early next week. It is possible that a low pressure center may develop along this front. CARIBBEAN SEA... A cold front passes through the Atlantic Ocean near 20N65W, to the SE part of the Dominican Republic, and to the southern shores near 18N70W. A warm front continues from 18N70W to a 1009 mb low pressure center that is just offshore the SW corner of the Dominican Republic. A cold front continues from the 1009 mb low pressure center, to 11N76W. Precipitation: isolated moderate from 18N to 21N in the Atlantic Ocean between 59W in the Atlantic Ocean and the Windward Passage. The current cold front will stall gradually, and dissipate through Friday. Benign marine conditions will prevail for the remainder of the forecast period as a weak pressure gradient dominates the area. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1004 mb low pressure center is near 29N63W, in the western Atlantic Ocean. A cold front extends from the low pressure center to 31N61W 28N59W 19N66W. Gale-force winds are in two areas, one on either side of the cold front. Please read the Special Features section for details about the gale-force winds. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong within 200 nm to 660 nm to the east of the cold front from 21N northward. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 24/0000 UTC, according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES, MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC, are: 0.09 in Bermuda. Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the area that is from 30N northward from 25W eastward. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is near 22N32W. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the area that is from 14N to 30N between 20W and 46W. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong from 21N to 26N between 28W and 34W. A cold front in the SE part of the basin from 22N63W to the N coast of Puerto Rico will weaken as it sinks SE through Friday. This front extends from 1004 mb low pressure center that is near 29N63W. Associated gale-force winds that were to the W of the low have shifted just E of the offshore waters. Lingering fresh to strong winds behind the front will diminish gradually through Friday. Associated very large seas continue to propagate SE, subsiding this weekend. Another cold front will move off the SE U.S.A. coast on Saturday morning. The front will reach from Bermuda across the central Bahamas to western Cuba by Sunday. This front should pass through the northern parts of the area into Monday. It is possible that a weak low pressure center and cold front may move into the area from the SE Gulf of Mexico early next week. $$ mt