000 AXNT20 KNHC 301906 CCA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...CORRECTED NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 205 PM EDT Tue Jul 30 2019 CORRECTED GULF OF MEXICO/CARIBBEAN SEA/ATLANTIC OCEAN FOR REPEAT PARAGRAPHS Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1730 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Far Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: The METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST consists of gale-force winds for the marine zone AGADIR, near the coast of Morocco, until 31/0000 UTC. The surface pressure gradient, between high pressure near the Azores and low pressure in North Africa, will lead to the gale-force northerly winds. Please read the latest high seas forecast from METEO FRANCE, at http://weather.gmdss.org/II.html for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 24W/25W from 17N southward. Scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 06N to 10N between 24W and 31W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 42W/43W from 23N southward. Isolated moderate rainshowers are from 07N to 12N between 39W and 44W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 52W/54W from 18N southward. Scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 09N to 11N between 56W and 58W. Isolated moderate rainshowers are elsewhere from 12N southward between 50W and 60W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave curves from 22N65W in the Atlantic Ocean, through the Mona Passage, to 16N69W in the Caribbean Sea, to 07N71W in NW Venezuela. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers cover the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea from 15N to 22N between 55W and 71W. Some of the areas that are being affected range from the islands of the NE Caribbean Sea, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the eastern sections of Hispaniola, and parts of the SE Bahamas. Locally heavy rainfall is possible in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and parts of the southeast Bahamas during the next few days. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward to northwestward during the next several days, producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Caribbean and the Bahamas. It is possible that the atmospheric conditions may become marginally conducive for development late this week when the disturbance moves near Florida and the northwestern Bahamas. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Senegal near 14N17W to 11N25W to 10N41W. The ITCZ is along 09N45W 07N53W 07N60W. Isolated moderate rainshowers are from 04N to 08N between 10W and 16W. Other rainshowers are possible elsewhere from 11N southward from 60W eastward. GULF OF MEXICO... A middle level to upper level trough passes through the Florida Panhandle into the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. Scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are in the north central Gulf waters. Isolated moderate rainshowers are elsewhere, spread across the rest of the open waters. A weak ridge will remain in the northern Gulf of Mexico through the next few days. It will provide for generally a gentle to moderate wind flow and relatively low seas across the area. Surface troughs will develop each afternoon in the Yucatan Peninsula, and generate fresh to locally strong winds during the overnight hours as they move westward into the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. CARIBBEAN SEA... Upper level anticyclonic wind flow spans nearly the entire Caribbean Sea. Upper level SW wind flow is in the far NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. This SW wind flow is at the periphery of upper level cyclonic wind flow that is in the Gulf of Mexico. Isolated moderate rainshowers are in the Gulf of Honduras, and elsewhere in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, from 15N northward from the Windward Passage westward. The monsoon trough is along 09N75W in Colombia, beyond 06N80W in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Rainshowers are possible in the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea from 10N southward from 76W westward. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 30/1200 UTC...according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...are 0.81 in San Juan in Puerto Rico, 0.65 in Freeport in the Bahamas, 0.40 in Nassau in the Bahamas, 0.31 in Bermuda, 0.22 in Trinidad, 0.20 in Acapulco, and 0.04 in Guadeloupe. A pair of tropical waves crossing the Caribbean will lower the wind speeds in the basin until Thu night, then fresh to strong winds will return to the central Caribbean in the wake of the tropical waves. The first wave is currently along 69W/70W accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms N of 16N, including the Mona Passage and the eastern section of the Dominican Republic. This wave will move across the central Caribbean tonight through Wed night, followed by fresh to strong east to southeast winds mainly S of 15N. Another tropical wave, currently over the Tropical N Atlantic, will move across the eastern Caribbean beginning on Wed afternoon and through Thu night, and then across the central Caribbean Fri through Sat and over the eastern part of the western Caribbean Sat night. It is expected to be attendant by similar wind and weather conditions. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A surface trough is along 47W/48W from 22N to 31N. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 25N to 32N between 43W and 52W. A surface trough extends from a 1017 mb low pressure center that is near 36N69W to 31N70W. A second surface trough is along the Florida east coast, along 78W/79W from 27N and the NW Bahamas to 32N. Isolated moderate to locally strong rainshowers are from 25N northward from 54W westward. A tropical wave will bring gusty winds and strong east to southeast winds, and rainshowers and thunderstorms, to the SE part of the area through Wed. The wave will pass near Hispaniola into the Turks and Caicos Islands during Wed through Thu, accompanied by fresh to strong winds as well as showers and thunderstorms. This system will move across the Bahamas Thu evening, then northward to just off the Florida east coast Fri night through Sat night. Otherwise, moderate breezes will generally prevail. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ mt