000 AXNT20 KNHC 150005 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 805 PM EDT Sun Jul 14 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2350 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... The center of Tropical Depression BARRY is near 32.8N 93.6W at 14/2100 UTC. BARRY is moving toward the N, or 360 degrees, 8 knots. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. The maximum sustained wind speeds are 30 knots with gusts to 40 knots. Scattered to numerous strong rainshowers are in the coastal waters and coastal plains of Texas from 27N to 29N between 94W and 97W, roughly from the middle Texas Gulf coast northward toward the Upper Texas Gulf coast. Other rainshowers are possible to the NW of the line that runs from the Florida Big Bend along 84W to the coast of Mexico near 23N98W. Public Advisories for BARRY are available under the WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and the AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. The FORECAST/ADVISORIES for BARRY are available under the WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and the AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. Please, see www.hurricanes.gov for more details also. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 31W from 16N southward. Any nearby precipitation is related to the ITCZ. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 54W/56W from 23N southward. Rainshowers are possible from 14N to 20N between 50W and 60W. ITCZ-related precipitation is from 10N to 14N between 50W and 60W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 73W/74W from Haiti southward. Isolated moderate to locally strong rainshowers are from 16N to 21N between western Puerto Rico and the Mona Passage. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82W/83W from 19N southward. This tropical wave is moving through the area of an upper level inverted trough. The trough extends from NW Cuba beyond the Gulf of Honduras. Isolated moderate rainshowers are from 15N northward from 80W westward, in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Senegal near 14N17W to 08N30W 08N38W and 08N42W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to 11N50W, and to 10N55W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 10N to 14N between 56W and 64W. Isolated moderate rainshowers are from 11N southward between 10W and 45W, and from 10N to 14N between 50W and 56W GULF OF MEXICO... Tropical Depression BARRY is inland, in south central coastal Louisiana. A surface ridge extends from the NE corner of the Gulf of Mexico to the Yucatan Peninsula. Broad upper level anticyclonic wind flow spans the entire Gulf of Mexico. Tropical Depression Barry near 32.8N 93.6W 1008 mb at 5 PM EDT moving N at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Barry will move to 33.9N 93.6W tonight, then become post- tropical near 35.3N 93.5W Mon afternoon, to 36.8N 92.8W on Tuesday morning, and to 38.2N 91.4W on Tuesday afternoon, and dissipate on Wednesday in Missouri. The wind speeds will diminish, and the sea heights will subside across the basin through early Monday, in the wake of BARRY, and as high pressure builds westward across the basin. CARIBBEAN SEA... Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, with an inverted trough that runs from NW Cuba beyond the Gulf of Honduras. Isolated moderate rainshowers are from 15N northward from 80W westward, in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. The monsoon trough extends from 10N73W near the Colombia/ Venezuela border, to 08N81W in the southern part of Panama, beyond 08N85W, into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Scattered to numerous strong rainshowers are from 06N to 11N between 80W and 83W, in the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea. Scattered moderate to strong rainshowers are in Colombia from 09N to 10N between 74W and the coast. High pressure N of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds in the S central Caribbean Sea for the entire forecast period. The winds will be fresh to occasionally strong in the Gulf of Honduras. A tropical wave that is near 86W will cross into Central America tonight. A second tropical wave that is along 74W will reach the western Caribbean Sea by Monday night. The next tropical wave will reach the tropical N Atlantic Ocean tonight, the eastern Caribbean Sea on Monday, and the central Caribbean Sea from Tuesday into Wednesday. A surge of fresh to strong winds and building seas will accompany the wave that will be in the tropical N Atlantic Ocean and the eastern Caribbean Sea. ATLANTIC OCEAN... An upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean to the NW of the line that passes through 31N47W to 22N60W to 20N70W. One surface trough is along 29N47W 26N48W 24N49W. The southernmost point of a dissipating stationary front is 32N59W. A dissipating stationary front continues from 32N59W to 29N56W and 27N60W. A second surface trough is along 30N63W 26N70W, to 23N74W in the Bahamas. Isolated moderate rainshowers are to the NW of the line that passes through 32N50W to 26N60W to SE Cuba. A trough, from 27N66W to 21N73W, will move W across the waters S of 28N through early Tuesday, when it will reach the Florida Peninsula. A second trough will move W of 65W by Wednesday, weakening as it approaches the Bahamas through Thursday. High pressure will dominate the region through the next several days, bringing gentle to moderate breezes, except N of Hispaniola, where fresh to strong trade winds will pulse during the evening hours. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ mt