000 AXNT20 KNHC 281713 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1650 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: Gale-force NE to E winds are continuing. The wind speeds are forecast to slow down at the start of the afternoon today, and then increase in speed to gale- force, again, tonight. Expect the gale-force wind speeds to be present, tonight, from 10N to 11N between 70W and 76W, along the coast of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. The sea heights will range from 10 feet to 14 feet. Please, read the Atlantic Ocean High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC or website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 19W/20W from 13N southward. Scattered strong rainshowers are from 05N to 06N between 20W and 22W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are along the coast of Africa from 04N to 08N between 10W and 14W. Rainshowers are possible elsewhere from 03N to 10N between 10W and 20W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 53W/54W from 16N southward. The tropical wave is moving toward the area of an upper level trough. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 09N to 14N between 58W and 64W. Widely scattered moderate rainshowers are from 09N to 15N between 52W and 58W. A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 72W, from the border of Haiti and the Dominican Republic southward. No significant deep convective precipitation is apparent with this tropical wave. A tropical wave is along 89W, from 16N in southern Belize southward, beyond El Salvador southward. No significant deep convective precipitation is apparent with this tropical wave. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal areas of SW Senegal and Guinea-Bissau near 12N17W, to 07N28W. The ITCZ is along 06N31W 05N35W 06N42W 05N46W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 03N to 10N between 32W and 40W. Rainshowers are possible elsewhere from 10N southward from 60W eastward. GULF OF MEXICO... An upper level trough extends from the upper Texas Gulf coast toward the NW corner of the Yucatan Peninsula. Isolated moderate rainshowers are from 23N southward from 92W westward to the coast of Mexico. A surface trough extends from the Florida Panhandle to 23N86W in the eastern part of the Gulf of Mexico. Isolated moderate rainshowers are in the Gulf of Mexico from 90W eastward. A weak trough over the northeast Gulf will move westward across the north central Gulf through Sat and into the northwest Gulf Sun. Another trough will move off the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight bringing fresh to strong northeast winds to the eastern Bay of Campeche. CARIBBEAN SEA... An upper level trough passes through the Atlantic Ocean near 32N78W, across Cuba, and into Honduras and Nicaragua. Isolated moderate rainshowers cover the Caribbean Sea to the west of the line that runs from the Windward Passage to the Gulf of Uraba of Colombia. An upper level trough is along 27N46W in the Atlantic Ocean, to 20N57W, to 16N64W in the NE part of the Caribbean Sea, to the central coastal sections of Venezuela. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 53W/54W from 16N southward. The tropical wave is moving toward the area of the upper level trough. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 09N to 14N between 58W and 64W. The monsoon trough is along 08N/09N, from 75W in Colombia beyond 86W, into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Scattered to numerous strong rainshowers are in the coastal waters of Colombia and Panama, from 03N northward from 81W eastward. A strong pressure gradient between the Bermuda high and low pressure over northern Colombia will support gale force winds tonight and Sat night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. The pattern will also support strong to near gale force winds over much of the central and SW Caribbean through Tue night, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere. ATLANTIC OCEAN... An upper level trough passes through the Atlantic Ocean near 32N78W, across Cuba, and into Honduras and Nicaragua. A surface trough is along 31N73W 27N77W, to Andros Island in the Bahamas, to the coast of Cuba along 76W/77W. Scattered moderate to strong rainshowers are in the Bahamas from 22N to 26N between 76W and 80W. Isolated moderate rainshowers are elsewhere from Cuba and Hispaniola northward from 70W westward. A surface trough is along 31N45W 27N57W. A second surface trough passes through 32N62W to 31N64W. Isolated to widely scattered moderate rainshowers from 24N northward between 35W and 70W. The current Bahamas surface trough will drift westward into South Florida late today. The Bermuda high will build in its wake, and it will support moderate to fresh breezes from Hispaniola to Cay Sal through Saturday, pulsing to strong near the approaches to the Windward Passage tonight. Gentle to moderate breezes and slight to moderate seas will persist elsewhere. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ mt