000 AXNT20 KNHC 100605 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 205 AM EDT Mon Jun 10 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Gale force winds are forecast along the coast of Morocco. Meteo- France is forecasting Gale force winds for the zone of AGADIR. Please refer to the Meteo-France high seas forecast listed on the website: WWW.METEOFRANCE.COM/PREVISIONS- METEO- MARINE/BULLETIN/GRANDLARGE/METAREA2. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic tropical wave is along 16W from 01N-14N, moving W at 10 kt. The wave axis is noted in the satellite imagery and in the model diagnostic data. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N- 09N between 16W-18W. An Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W from 01N-13N, moving W at 10 kt. Isolated moderate convection extends 100 nm on either side of the wave axis. An Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W from 03N-15N, moving W at 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the wave axis extending from 04N-15N between 58W- 64W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 74W from 02N-14N, moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is mainly inland over Colombia. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coast of Guinea-Bissau near 14N17W to 05N22W. The ITCZ extends from 05N22W to 05N35W, then resumes W of a tropical wave at 04N38W to the coast of Brazil 01N50W. Beside the convection mentioned in the tropical wave section, scattered moderate convection is from 03N-06N between 24W-29W. GULF OF MEXICO... A stationary front extends from a 1010 mb low pressure in the Florida Panhandle near 30N87W west to the NE Gulf near 29N94W. Scattered showers are within 60 nm of the front. Debri clouds from a cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms over west central Texas extends into the northwest Gulf waters. However, most of the strong convection remains inland across Texas. Moderate convection is in the warm section over the NE Gulf and Florida N of 25N between 82W- 84W. A weak stationary front extending from near Mobile, Alabama to near Houston Texas will be reinforcing by a cold front moving across the NW Gulf Mon and Mon night. The merged front will reach from the Florida Panhandle to near Brownsville, Texas by Mon night, then become stationary and weaken over the northern Gulf Tue through Wed night. Fresh north to northeast winds will follow the front before diminishing to mainly gentle winds Tue. A weak cold front will move across the north-central Gulf on Wed and across the NE Gulf Wed night into Thu and become stationary by late Thu. CARIBBEAN SEA... Moderate to fresh tradewinds are over the Caribbean Sea with strongest winds over the south central Caribbean, especially north of Colombia and the Gulf of Honduras, and weakest winds over the far NW Caribbean. Besides the convection associated with the tropical wave, scattered moderate convection is over the Greater Antilles. Also, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is along the Pacific monsoon trough which extends from the west coast of Colombia across Panama and Costa Rica. Fresh to strong trades are expected over the S central Caribbean through Fri night along with building seas, except within 90 nm of the coast of Colombia where near gale force winds will occur late tonight and early Mon morning. Strong winds will pulse over the Gulf of Honduras tonight and then Thu night. Otherwise, a weak ridge N of the area will support moderate to locally fresh trade winds across most of the Caribbean during the next several days. ATLANTIC OCEAN... Scattered showers are noted over the W Atlantic, to include the N Bahamas, N of 22N and W of 76W. A large 1033 mb high is centered over the eastern Atlantic near 36N27W. an upper level low is over the E Atlantic near 26N42W. Scattered showers are within 240 nm of this center. A ridge will dominate the SW N Atlantic and the Bahamas over the next several days producing mainly gentle to moderate southerly winds N of 22N, and an E to SE wind flow S of 22N, with seas generally under 6 ft. A moist airmass will remain overhead and support unsettled weather in the form of scattered showers and thunderstorms. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ MMTorres