000 AXNT20 KNHC 060935 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 535 AM EDT Mon May 6 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1045 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Sierra Leone near 09N13W to 02N20W. The ITCZ continues from 02N20W to 01S30W to the coast of Brazil near 01S45W. Widely scattered moderate convection is from 01N-05N between 14W-22W. Isolated moderate convection is from 04N-06S between 23W-50W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends from N Florida near 31N83W to the central Gulf of Mexico near 25N90W to S Texas near 26N97W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the front. A surface trough extends from the SE Gulf near 23N90W to Guatemala near 16N92W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 15N-24N between 86W-93W. Isolated moderate convection is also over he Florida Keys and S Florida. In the upper levels, a trough is over the western Gulf enhancing convection. The cold front will weaken and drift southward today. A ridge will build northeast of the region through mid week. A trough over the Yucatan Peninsula will support pulses of fresh to locally strong winds in the SW Gulf through Thu. Smoke and haze from ongoing agricultural fires in Mexico could reduce visibilities in the western Gulf and the Bay of Campeche. CARIBBEAN SEA... 15-25 kt tradewinds are over the Caribbean Sea with strongest winds along the coast of N Colombia. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is over the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Guatemala, the Gulf of Honduras, and W Honduras. Widely scattered moderate convection is also over N Colombia. In the upper levels, a ridge is over the Caribbean with upper level moisture. The gradient between high pressure northeast of the region near 28N56W and low pressure in Colombia will support fresh to strong easterly winds in the south-central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras through Tue. Smoke and haze from ongoing agricultural fires could reduce visibilities north of Honduras. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1022 mb high is centered over the central Atlantic near 27N55W. A cold front extends across the eastern Atlantic from 31N22W to 28N25W to 28N32W. A 1021 mb high is centered over the E Atlantic near 32N16W. High pressure centered near 27N55W will shift eastward and weaken through Tue. A weakening cold front will move into the northern waters tonight and continue southward through Tue. High pressure will build north of the region Wed through Thu night. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Formosa