000 AXNT20 KNHC 270000 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2345 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Far Eastern Atlantic Gale: Meteo France is forecasting gale force winds today, near the coast of Morocco in the marine zone of Agadir. Gale force winds are likely occurring now and should last until about 27/0000 UTC. Please see the Meteo France high seas forecast at http://www.meteofrance.com /previsions-meteo- marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2 for more information. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Sierra Leone near 07N12W to 04N14W. The ITCZ continues from 04N14W to 00N29W to the coast of Brazil near 01S44W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 00N-04N between 13W-21W. Cluster of strong convection is present near the coast of Liberia. Scattered showers are within 90 nm north and south of the ITCZ. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends from eastern Florida near 29N82W to 22N90W to 21N91W and continues as a stationary front near the coast of Mexico 19N93W. Scattered showers are over the eastern Gulf from 23N-86W east across South Florida. Latest radar imagery in FL suggest most of the rainfall is not reaching the ground. Drier conditions with moderate N winds are noted over the northern and central portion of the Gulf as weak high pressure builds in behind the front. Thunderstorms in the E central and SE Gulf precede a cold front which extends from near Tampa Bay, Florida to just NW of the Yucatan Peninsula. The front will extend from the Straits of Florida to just NW of the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight where it will stall and dissipate through Sat night. A remnant trough will drift NW through Sun before dissipating. High pres and return flow will prevail across the basin through next week. CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered moderate convection is along the northern coast of Colombia, associated to a 1009 mb low pressure. Isolated showers are also noted near western Cuba and in the Yucatan Peninsula. Elsewhere across the Caribbean, mostly quiet weather prevails. Fresh trades are noted over the central Caribbean between 66W-72W with moderate winds elsewhere. Winds will pulse fresh to strong in the S central Caribbean, expanding in coverage to the entire central Caribbean, and offshore of Honduras and in the lee of Cuba by early next week as high pres N of the area build southward. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail, increasing early next week. Fresh easterly swell will build in the tropical N Atlc next week. Conditions appear favorable for heavy rainfall over portions of Hispaniola late Sunday into Tuesday. An upper-level trough will approach the region from the northwest Sunday, then linger in the area into mid-week. While the strongest forcing and greatest moisture content should remain just north of Hispaniola, portions of Haiti and the Dominican Republic could see 1-3 inches of rain per day, especially Monday and Tuesday, possibly leading to some isolated flash flooding. ATLANTIC OCEAN... Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are north of 29N between 74W-78W. Latest ASCAT pass shows strong to near gale SW winds north of 28N west of 76W, and these winds are moving eastward. A 1019 mb high is over the western Atlantic near 29N62W. Further east, a surface trough extends over the central Atlantic from 36N43W to 21N52W. Isolated showers are present 180nm east of the trough. A 1030 mb high pressure remains in control of most of the eastern Atlantic. A cold front will move off the NE Florida coast tonight, reaching from 31N70W to the western Bahamas Sat morning, then stalling and dissipating from 27N65W to the central Bahamas by early Sun. High pres will build in from the NE in the wake of the front with E to SE flow dominating through next week. Expect pulses of fresh to strong winds N of Hispaniola mainly at night starting Sun evening. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ MMTorres