000 AXNT20 KNHC 282340 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 740 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2315 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Liberia near 07N11W to 00N16W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 03S30W to the coast of Brazil near 03S45W. Widely scattered moderate convection is from 01S-07S between 25W-50W. GULF OF MEXICO... A 1029 mb high is centered over South Carolina near 34N82W. A surface ridge extends SW from the high to the Bay of Campeche near 20N96W. 10-15 kt easterly winds are over the Gulf of Mexico with strongest winds over the Straits of Florida. Fair weather is over the entire Gulf. In the upper levels, a ridge is over the Gulf with very strong subsidence. A cold front will move over the NW Gulf Sat night followed by fresh to strong NE winds and building seas. Gale conditions could develop behind the front for the waters near Tampico Sun night. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front extends from NW Hispaniola near 20N73W to Nicaragua near 13N83W. Scattered showers are within 60 nm of the front. 15-20 kt N winds are N of the front. 20-25 kt NE winds are along the coast of N Colombia. 10-15 kt tradewinds are over the E Caribbean E of 75W. Scattered showers are over Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and Jamaica. Isolated moderate convection is inland over N Colombia. In the upper levels, strong subsidence persists over the Caribbean Sea and Central America suppressing deep convection. The front will gradually weaken through late Fri. Elsewhere generally moderate trade winds will persist across the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic west of 55W through early next week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... The stationary front enters the waters near 31N60W and extends SW to 26N65W to a 1014 mb low near 27N71W. A cold front extends S from the low to NW Hispaniola near 20N73W. Scattered moderate convection is N of 23N between 60W-69W. Scattered showers are elsewhere within 180 nm E of the front. A 1028 mb high is centered over the central Atlantic near 35N36W. A 1018 mb low is over the E Atlantic near 31N21W. Another 1016 mb low is over the Canary Islands near 29N17W. Over the W Atlantic, winds and seas will gradually diminish tonight as the low slowly weakens and drifts E toward 26N65W through late Fri. High pressure will build off the U.S. east coast in the wake of the front through Sun, then move E ahead of the next cold front expected to move off the NE Florida coast early next week. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Formosa