000 AXNT20 KNHC 252334 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 805 PM EDT Mon Mar 25 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2300 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Atlantic Gale warning...A strong cold front will move off the NE Florida coast Tuesday evening. Low pressure will develop along the front north-northeast of the Bahamas Wednesday night and Thursday, followed by strong northerly winds to gale force. The front and low pressure will drift slowly eastward through Fri. Please refer to the lastest Atlantic High Seas Forecast, under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2, or the following website: www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Liberia near 06N10W to 02N23W. The ITCZ continues from 02N23W south of the equator at 25W. Scattered moderate rain showers are noted from 01N-06N between 09W-23W. GULF OF MEXICO... Weak surface ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by high pressure across the northern Gulf. This is producing gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds across the majority of the basin. No significant showers are noted. Cloud cover is increasing over the N Gulf ahead of a cold front poised to reach the coast of Texas and Louisiana tonight. Scattered moderate showers are along this front. The cold front will move into the northern Gulf tonight. Fresh northerly winds will follow the front as it sweeps southward, exiting the basin late Wed. Expect moderate to fresh southerly return flow in the NW Gulf by late week as high pressure builds over the Carolinas north of the front. CARIBBEAN SEA... A surface trough is analyzed south of Cuba along 80W based on surface observations. Random isolated showers are noted over the northern Caribbean. Scatterometer data shows moderate to fresh trades over much of the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong winds south of 13N near the coast of Colombia. High pressure north of the area will support fresh to strong trade winds off Colombia into Wednesday. The winds will diminish later in the week as the high shifts east ahead of a cold front. The front will move into the northwest Caribbean late Wed, then stall and weaken from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras through Friday. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends from 32N40W to 28N49W to 27N58W, and continues as a weakening stationary front to 27N60W. Scattered showers are within 60 nm of the front between 50W-60W. A surface trough extends north of Haiti from 20N72W from 25N69W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen from 22N-27N between 65W-73W, including the waters east of the Bahamas. Scatterometer data shows moderate to fresh NE winds within 150 nm north of the front between 50W-70W. Over the eastern Atlantic, an occluded 1004 mb low is near 28N17W, with a cold front extending along the coast of Africa. Scattered showers are within 120 nm NE of the low center. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Hagen