000 AXNT20 KNHC 020535 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1234 AM EST Sat Mar 2 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0515 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from western Africa near 08N13W to 03N20W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 02S35W to the coast of Brazil near 02S44W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 01N-03S between 05W-10W. Scattered moderate convection is within 90 nm of the ITCZ between 20W-34W. GULF OF MEXICO... A stationary front extends from SE Louisiana near 29N91W to 28N92W to S Texas near 27N97W. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the Louisiana coast. More showers are over the NE Gulf of Mexico from 27N-29N between 85W-88W. 5-15 kt southerly surface winds are E of the front with strongest winds along the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. The front will dissipate on Sat. A cold front will move into the NW Gulf Sun. The front will slowly shift across the Gulf, moving SE of the area Wed. Strong northerly winds and building seas will follow the front, with gale conditions possible over the far SW Gulf Tue night. CARIBBEAN SEA... Scattered showers are moving W with the tradewinds over the E Caribbean E of 67W, and along the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua from 11N-17N between 82W-85W. Elsewhere, scattered moderate convection is inland over N Colombia. Fresh to strong trade winds will prevail in the south central Caribbean through Wed. Winds will freshen over the eastern Caribbean Mon night and Tue. Long period northerly swell will propagate through tropical Atlantic waters and the Caribbean Passages through Sat. E swell will move into the tropical Atlantic waters Sun night through Tue night and subside Wed. A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Wed. ATLANTIC OCEAN... Scattered moderate convection is over the W Atlantic from 29N-31N between 76W-80W. Otherwise, high pressure dominates the region supported by a 1033 mb high near 34N19W. This surface high pressure and stable air in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere are supporting fair weather across the eastern and central Atlantic. High pres will prevail over the majority of the Atlantic through Sun. A cold front will move off the southeast United States coast on Mon. The front will move across the forecast waters, extending from near Bermuda to central Cuba on Wed. Strong southwest winds will precede the front over the northern waters. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Formosa