000 AXNT20 KNHC 040528 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1228 AM EST Mon Feb 4 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0515 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Please refer to the METEO-FRANCE High Seas Forecast, that is listed on the website: the website: www.meteofrance.com/ previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2. Near Gale-force winds are forecast for the areas called: AGADIR and CANARIAS ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Liberia near 06N10W to 01N18W. The ITCZ continues from 01N18W to 03S30W to the coast of Brazil near 04N39W. Scattered moderate convection is along the monsoon trough from 2N-5N between 10W-13W. Isolated moderate convection is in the vicinity of the ITCZ from 03S-00N between 32W-40W. GULF OF MEXICO... The tail end of a cold front is over S Florida from West Palm Beach to Sarasota. No convection is along the front. A surface trough is over the NE Gulf of Mexico from 29N92W to 28N83W. Overcast low clouds and dense fog are from N of 25N, and E of 87W. Overcast multilayered clouds are over the NW Gulf N of 26N, and W of 90W. Scattered showers are noted on radar along the Louisiana coast. Patches of dense fog are along the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. Building high pressure north of the Gulf will promote quiescent conditions through Thu. A strong cold front will reach the NW waters late Thu night, with gales possible in the west central and southwest Gulf on Fri and Fri night. CARIBBEAN SEA... A 1010 mb low is centered over N Colombia near 09N74W. 10-30 kt trade winds are over the Caribbean Sea with strongest winds along the coast of N Colombia. Clusters of broken low clouds with scattered showers are over Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, E Cuba, and Honduras. In the upper levels, a broad ridge is over the Sea with axis along 70W. Strong subsidence covers the entire Caribbean. Fresh to strong trades in the S central Caribbean will pulse to near gale at night near the Coast of Colombia through Wed night. The tradewinds may reach gale force on Fri night. Otherwise, mainly moderate to locally fresh trades will continue across the forecast waters. No significant cold fronts are expected for the next several days to reach the Caribbean. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1008 mb low is centered over the W Atlantic near 33N76W. A cold front extends S to S Florida near West Palm Beach. A cold front is over the central Atlantic from 31N43W to 28N55W. A stationary front extends from that point to 27N67W to the W Atlantic Low near 33N76W. Scattered moderate convection is from 25N-29N between 51W-56W, and from 26N-35N between 67W-73W. Over the W Atlantic, the W Atlantic low will track slowly northeastward tonight. Associated weak cold front will progress eastward across the forecast waters through mid-week. High pressure will build in the wake of the front with quiescent conditions through Fri. A second stronger cold front should reach the Atlantic coast off of Florida Fri night. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Formosa