000 AXNT20 KNHC 291729 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1229 PM EST Tue Jan 29 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning... A cold front is located over the Gulf of Mexico from 30N88W to 25N95W to 22N98W. N gales are occurring from 22N-24N W of front. Seas will build to 11 ft W of the front. These conditions will continue until 29/1800 UTC. Please refer to the High Seas Forecast product under AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough emerges from the coast of W Africa near 09N14W to 04N20W to 01N26W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 01N40W to the coast of South America near 01S48W. Scattered moderate convection is along the monsoon trough from 01N-04N between 17W-26W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends from the Florida Panhandle to Tampico Mexico. A gale is forecast to end shortly. See above. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the front. Expect the front to push into the southern Gulf by Wed morning, then stall from the Florida Straits to near Veracruz Mexico by Thu morning. The front will drift northward and weaken Thu night and Fri. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front extends from eastern Cuba near 21N76W to 17N80W to S Nicaragua near 12N84W. Isolated showers are noted within 90 nm of the front. Moderate to fresh tradewinds prevail E of 76W with strongest winds in the southern Caribbean just N of Venezuela and Colombia. The stationary front will weaken and dissipate by Wed morning. High pressure will build N of the area by the middle of the week, strengthening winds over the south central Caribbean. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front is over the W Atlantic from 31N66W to 28N69W. A stationary front continues from 28N69W to E Cuba near 21N76W. Strong S winds are E of the front N of 26N. Scattered moderate convection is within 150 nm E of the front N of 29N. Scattered showers prevail within 120 nm E of the front from the SE Bahamas to 29N. Further E, a surface trough extends from 28N36W to 18N44W. A large upper-level low is centered near 24N41W. The combination of the surface and upper-level features are producing scattered moderate showers from 10N-32N between 25W-42W. Over the W Atlantic, the front will stall and weaken tonight and Wed over forecast waters. Another cold front will move off the NE Florida coast this evening then stall from 30N65W to NW Bahamas and the Straits of Florida by Thu afternoon. High pres will build over the forecast waters in the wake of the front. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Formosa