000 AXNT20 KNHC 281749 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1249 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...Atlantic Gale Warning... A cold front is over the W Atlantic from 31N74W to 26N77W to 23N79W. Gale force winds are on both sides of the front namely, E of front to 72W N of 28.5N, and W of front to 77W N of 28.5N. The gales will move north of the area by this evening. Please refer to the High Seas Forecast product under AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more details. ...Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning... Another cold front will enter the Gulf early Tue morning at 29/0900 UTC. Northerly gales are expected NW of the front as it moves off the Texas coast Tue morning. Seas are forecast to build to 10-12 ft W of the front. Please refer to the High Seas Forecast product under AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough emerges from the coast of Liberia near 06N10W and extends to 02N22W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 00N30W to the coast of Brazil near 03S43W. Isolated moderate convection is within 120 nm S of the monsoon trough between the coast of Liberia and 19W. GULF OF MEXICO... A 1019 mb surface high is centered over the north central Gulf of Mexico near 26N90W. Gentle winds cover the Gulf W of 83W. The high pressure over the Gulf will exit NE of the Gulf tonight. Strong N winds and high seas over the SE Gulf will slowly diminish today. Another cold front will enter the Gulf early Tue morning. N gales are expected W of the front as it moves S along the coast of Mexico Tue. The front will move SE and stall over the southern Gulf from the Straits of Florida to near Tampico, Mexico Wed then drift N and weaken through Fri. High pres N of this front will generate fresh to strong E to SE winds N of the boundary. CARIBBEAN SEA... As of 1500 UTC, a cold front extends from central Cuba near 22N78W to E Nicaragua near 12N84W. Scattered showers are within 90 nm of the front. Strong N winds are in the W Caribbean W of the front. The remainder of the Caribbean has 10-20 kt tradewinds with strongest winds N of Venezuela. Mostly fair weather is also over the central and eastern Caribbean E of Jamaica. The front will stall from E Cuba to the SE coast of Nicaragua. Strong N winds behind the front will remain strong through this evening. The front will gradually dissipate Tue through Wed as a reinforcing front moves to the Straits of Florida Thu morning and stalls. High pres will build SE from the Atlantic into the NE Caribbean and adjacent Atlantic late Thu and Fri. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front is over the W Atlantic from 31N74W to 26N77W to 23N79W. Gale force winds are on both sides of the front. See above. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the front. Further E, a 1015 mb low is centered over the E Atlantic near 23N38W. A surface trough extends from 30N33W to the low center to 15N46W. Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the trough N of the low. Over the W Atlantic, gales in the vicinity of the front and N of 28.5N will move N of 31N by this evening as the front shifts E. The front will then stall from 31N65W to E central Cuba by Tue evening. Another cold front will move off the NE Florida coast Tue night and sink SE to stall from 30N65W to NW Bahamas and Straits of Florida Thu afternoon. High pres following this front will produce fresh to strong NE to E winds NW of the front through Fri. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Formosa