000 AXNT20 KNHC 240621 CCA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...CORRECTED NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1258 AM EST Mon Dec 24 2018 CORRECTED FOR MONSOON TROUGH Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0530 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...GALE WARNING IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA... The forecast consists of: GALE-FORCE NE to E winds, from sunset until sunrise of the next morning, starting now, and continuing in that way, for the next 48 hours. The GALE-FORCE wind speeds will be experienced from 11N to 13N between 73W and 77W during each period. The sea heights will range from 9 feet to 12 feet, also. Please, read the latest High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Liberia near 06N10W, to 05N14W. The ITCZ continues from 05N14W to 04N23W, crossing the Equator along 31W, to 01S34W, to the Equator again along 43W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 02N to 06S between 28W and 37W. Isolated moderate rainshowers are elsewhere from 10N southward from 60W eastward. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front passes through the SE corner of Mississippi, through extreme SE Louisiana, to 28N94W in the NW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. The front becomes stationary, from 28N94W, across the Deep South of Texas to 26N100W in Mexico. The stationary front curves northwestward to 31N108W in north central interior Mexico. Upper level SW wind flow is moving across the entire Gulf of Mexico. Rainshowers are possible along and to the northwest of the frontal boundary. The current cold front is stalling gradually. The northern part of the front will be reaching from the Florida Big Bend to southern Texas on Monday and Tuesday. Fresh SE wind flow will develop across the entire basin on Tuesday and Wednesday, ahead of a cold front that will be moving off Texas on Thursday morning. That next front will stall across the Texas coastal waters on Friday, gradually retreating inland through Friday night. CARIBBEAN SEA... A stationary front passes through the SE Bahamas to SE Cuba. A surface trough continues from SE Cuba, just to the west of, curving toward the SE coast of Nicaragua. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 16N to 20N between 82W and 87W. Rainshowers are possible elsewhere in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, from 15N northward from 80W westward. Isolated moderate rainshowers are elsewhere, to the east of the line that runs from Jamaica to the central coastal sections of Nicaragua. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 24/0000 UTC...according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...are 0.09 in Guadeloupe, and 0.02 in Curacao. Strong trade winds will continue across the south central Caribbean Sea through Friday night, increasing to minimal gale force along the NW coast of Colombia at night. A frontal trough, extending from eastern Cuba to Nicaragua, will dissipate slowly tonight. Fresh NE wind flow will continue in the NW Caribbean Sea through Monday night. Easterly winds will increase across the entire region from Wednesday through Friday, as strong high pressure builds in the W Atlantic Ocean. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front is moving through the central and western sections of the Atlantic Ocean, passing through 31N56W to 25N67W. The front becomes stationary from 25N67W, across parts of the SE Bahamas near 23N74W, to SE Cuba. A surface trough is along 64W/66W from 19N to 25N. Isolated moderate rainshowers are to the north of the line that passes through 31N46W, to 24N55W, to the Mona Passage. 24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended at 24/0000 UTC...according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...are 0.04 in Bermuda. An eastern Atlantic Ocean upper level trough is supporting a surface trough, that is passing through 31N26W to 23N30W to 18N43W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are from 26N northward between 20W and 30W. Rainshowers are possible elsewhere, in broken low level clouds, to the north of the line that passes through 31N20W to 22N30W to 17N40W to 15N50W to 14N60W. The current stationary front will weaken, and drift NW on Monday and Tuesday. Easterly winds will increase across the entire region on Wednesday and Thursday, as strong high pressure builds across the W Atlantic Ocean. The wind speeds will diminish N of 22N on Friday and Friday night as the high weakens. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ MT