000 AXNT20 KNHC 021204 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 804 AM EDT Fri Nov 2 2018 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1115 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave extends its axis along 28W from 01N-12N, moving west at about 10-15 kt. This wave is noted in model guidance at 700 mb and TPW imagery show high moisture content associated with it. Scattered showers are noted over the northern half of the wave between 27W-30W. A tropical wave extends its axis along 58W from 03N-12N, moving west at 10 kt. This wave is also noted in model guidance at 700 mb. TPW imagery depicts moderate to high moisture content near and east of the wave axis. Scattered showers extend 100 nm east of the wave axis. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough is analyzed from 10N14W to 08N25W. The ITCZ extends from 08N33W to 09N55W. Aside from the showers related to the two tropical waves, scattered moderate convection are within 70 nm on either side of the boundary between 40W-49W. GULF OF MEXICO... As of 0900 UTC, a cold front extends from 30N86W to 18N95W. An upper level trough entering the Southeast Plains is enhancing this feature. Scattered moderate to strong convection extends 200 nm south of the front. The front will move slowly southeast across the basin today, then stall across the Straits of Florida to Cancun, Mexico tonight, then gradually dissipate on Sat as E to SE return flow develops across the basin. CARIBBEAN SEA... A broad area of high pressure centered over the west Atlantic extends across most of the basin. To the south, scattered moderate convection is seen over the SW Caribbean south of 12N between 75W-82W due to the eastern extent of the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough. The western Atlantic surface high will continue to shift eastward through the weekend and produce fresh tradewinds east of 80W, especially the south-central Caribbean through Saturday evening. These winds will be strongest at night close to the coast of Colombia. A Gulf of Mexico cold front will stall and weaken near the Yucatan Channel Sat morning. Trades will diminish Sun and Mon. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A western Atlantic 1026 mb high is centered near 33N59W. A cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N38W and extends to 24N42W to 20N46W. A stationary front continues from 20N46W to 19N63W. Scattered showers are within 100 nm of the front N of 26N. Scattered showers are noted 60 nm south of the boundary between 50W-62W. An eastern Atlantic 1028 mb high is centered near 37N17W producing fair weather. The cold front will stall and dissipate this weekend. Another cold front will move east of north Florida by early Saturday. The front is expected to weaken and stall from near 31N74W to Palm Beach, FL Saturday evening before shifting northwest through the rest of the weekend. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Torres/Formosa