000 AXNT20 KNHC 020520 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 120 AM EDT Fri Nov 2 2018 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0515 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave extends its axis along 27W from 01N-12N, moving west at about 10-15 kt. This wave is noted in model guidance at 700 mb and TPW imagery show high moisture content associated with it. Scattered showers are noted over the northern half of the wave between 20W-31W. A tropical wave extends its axis along 57W from 02N-12N, moving west at 10 kt. This wave is also noted in model guidance at 700 mb. TPW imagery depicts moderate to high moisture content near and east of the wave axis. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N- 11N between 55W-60W. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough is analyzed from 10N14W to 06N24W. The ITCZ extends from 06N29W to 08N55W. Aside from the showers related to the two tropical waves, scattered showers are within 105 nm on either side of both boundaries. GULF OF MEXICO... At this time, a cold front extends from 29N90W to 19N96W. An upper level trough across the central plains is enhancing this feature. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 150 nm south of the front. Latest scatterometer data depicts moderate to fresh winds in the vicinity of the front mainly west of 85W. The front will continue moving southeast across the basin today, then stall across the Straits of Florida to Cancun, Mexico by Saturday morning before shifting NW through Sunday and lifting N of area by early next week. CARIBBEAN SEA... A broad area of high pressure centered over the west Atlantic extends across most of the basin. To the south, scattered moderate convection is seen over the SW Caribbean south of 11N between 75W-82W due to the eastern extent of the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough. The western Atlantic surface high will continue to shift eastward through the weekend and produce fresh to strong tradewinds across the Caribbean east of 80W, especially the south- central Caribbean. These winds will be strongest at night close to the coast of Colombia. A Gulf of Mexico cold front will move SE reaching the Yucatan Channel and far NW Caribbean this weekend. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A western Atlantic 1025 mb high is centered near 34N62W. A cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N39W and extends to 20N50W to 21N70W. Scattered showers are within 150 nm of the front N of 20N. An eastern Atlantic 1027 mb high is centered near 38N19W producing fair weather. The cold front will stall and dissipate this weekend. Another cold front will move east of north Florida by early Saturday. The front is expected to weaken and stall from near 31N74W to Palm Beach, FL Saturday evening before shifting northwest through the rest of the weekend. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ ERA