000
AXNT20 KNHC 130005
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 PM EDT Mon Mar 12 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2330 UTC. 

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning...

A cold front extends across the basin from southern Florida to 
the Bay of Campeche. A gale warning is in effect for the waters 
east of Tampico Mexico south of 21N and west of 95.5W behind the 
front. These conditions will continue through the next 12 to 24 
hours. Please read the latest Atlantic Ocean High Seas Forecast 
under AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, for more details.

...Atlantic Ocean Gale Warning...

A cold front extends across the west Atlantic from 32N74W to 
southern Florida. Gale-force winds are expected this evening 
north of 28N west of the cold front to 80W, with sea heights to 
10 feet. These conditions will persist through Tuesday evening. 
Please read the latest Atlantic Ocean High Seas Forecast under 
AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC, for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
     
The monsoon trough extends from the African coast near 06N11W to 
02N18W. The ITCZ continues from there to south of the equator 
near 22W. Isolated showers are south of the monsoon trough and 
east of 15W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the southwest Gulf waters S of 
21N along the Veracruz coast. A cold front extends across the 
basin from southern Florida to the Bay of Campeche. Scattered 
rain showers are noted within 45 nm of the front, and numerous 
showers are ahead of the front in the Yucatan Channel. ASCAT 
data earlier today showed fresh to strong northerly winds across 
the basin north of the front, and gentle to moderate westerly 
winds south of the front.

The front will reach the Straits of Florida this evening, and 
exit the region overnight. Strong northerly winds will diminish 
from the northwest tonight. A ridge will extend from northeast 
Texas to the Straits of Florida on Tuesday, then a high pressure 
will be centered in the northeast Gulf from Thursday through the 
end of the week.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong trade winds continue across the waters east of 
80W, except for near gale-force winds just north of the A-B-C 
islands expected through Tuesday night. A cold front will enter 
the northwest Caribbean tonight, reach from central Cuba to the 
Gulf of Honduras on Tuesday, stall from Hispaniola to Nicaragua 
on Tuesday night, then dissipate by Thursday. High pressure will 
build southeastward from the Gulf of Mexico into the northwest 
Caribbean by the end of the week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Gale force winds are expected N of 28N over the western Atlantic 
tonight behind a cold front that extends from 32N74W to southern 
Florida. An area of scattered numerous showers and thunderstorms 
is ahead of the front from 26N-32W between 68W-75W. To the east, 
a broad area of high pressure prevails across the remainder of 
the basin, anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 26N36W. A 
weak frontal boundary is dissipating from 31N36W to 27N52W. 

The convection NW of the Bahamas will shift east overnight. The 
cold front will continue pushing east, followed by strong to 
gale-force winds N of 28N through Tuesday. The front will reach 
from 30N65W to E Cuba on Tuesday, then stall from 26N65W to E 
Cuba Tuesday night. High pressure building from the northwest 
will cause the northern part of the front to begin moving east 
again by Wednesday night.

For additional information please visit 
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$

Mundell