000 AXNT20 KNHC 011730 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 PM EDT Wed Nov 1 2017 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1645 UTC. ..ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from the African coast near 11N15W to 09N17W, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone begins and extends to 06N30W to 06N40W to 05N53W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 09N between 20W and 40W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A weak cold front extends from 29N95.5W to near Brownsville, Texas. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are within 120 nm east of the front. A ridge axis extends from high pressure over the northeastern United States southwestward to near Vera Cruz, Mexico. This ridge supports mainly moderate winds over the Gulf basin today, except fresh and southerly within 120 nm east of the cold front. Over the next 24 hours the front will dissipate. Otherwise, little change is expected. CARIBBEAN SEA... A surface trough is over the western Caribbean with an axis extending from 17N83W to 10N81W. This trough supports scattered thunderstorms from 12N to 19N between 81W and 86W. Generally fair weather covers the remainder of the Caribbean. Mainly moderate easterly trades cover the Caribbean today, except locally fresh over the northwestern Caribbean between Cuba and 85W, and near the coast of Colombia. Very little change is expected over the next 24 hours. ...HISPANIOLA... Scattered showers are over the island due to a surface trough across the area. Expect this pattern to continue for the next 24 hours. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A frontal trough extends from near 31N66W to 23N68W to 18N73W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are from 23N to 29N between 65W and 68W. A 1013 mb low is centered near 29N51W with a surface trough extending from the low to near 23N54W. Meanwhile, an upper low is centered near 28N49W. The combination of these features supports a broad area of widespread showers with embedded scattered thunderstorms from 11N to 31N between 40W and 50W. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ Latto