000 AXNT20 KNHC 301022 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 622 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1015 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from the African coast near 11N15W to 09N23W. The Intertropical Convergence Zone extends from 09N23W to 04N51W. Scattered moderate convection is from 04N-13N between 27W-50W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... Surface ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1018 mb high near 27N92W. Scatterometer data depicts gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds across the basin. Winds will become light to gentle across the western Gulf as the high moves eastward during the next 24 hours. Southerly return flow will re-establish itself across the northwest Gulf later today as the next frontal boundary is expected to reach the southeast Texas, then stall and weaken on Tuesday. CARIBBEAN SEA... A cold front extends into the northwest Caribbean from the western Atlantic across eastern Cuba to Belize. Scattered showers are noted within 200 nm southeast of the front. The eastern Caribbean remains fairly tranquil under mostly clear skies. The cold front will stall and dissipate from Haiti to Nicaragua through Tuesday. Showers are expected with the front. ...HISPANIOLA... Fair weather prevails across the island at this time. A frontal boundary will continue approaching the island from the west enhancing convection. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends across the western Atlantic from 31N70W to 21N76W. This front is supported aloft by a deep mid-level trough currently over the eastern US. Scattered showers are occurring within 200 nm to the east of the front. Farther east, a 1010 mb surface low is centered near 32N46W. A cold front extends from the low to 22N58W. Scattered showers are noted with this front between 40W-50W. The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a surface ridge axis extending from the Azores to 22N39W. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ ERA