000 AXNT20 KNHC 300520 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 120 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0515 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from the African coast near 12N16W to 10N24W. The Intertropical Convergence Zone extends from 10N24W to 09N57W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N-11N between 28W-52W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... Surface ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1017 mb high near 28N94W. Scatterometer data depicts gentle to moderate winds across the basin. Winds will become light to gentle across the western Gulf as the high moves eastward during the next 24 hours. By Monday, southerly return flow will re-establish itself across the northwest Gulf as the next frontal boundary is expected to reach the southeast Texas, but stall and weaken on Tuesday. CARIBBEAN SEA... A cold front extends into the northwest Caribbean from the western Atlantic across central Cuba to Belize. Scattered showers are noted within 200 nm southeast of the front. The Lesser Antilles remain fairly tranquil under mostly clear skies. The cold front will stall and dissipate from Haiti to Nicaragua through Tuesday. Showers are expected with the front. ...HISPANIOLA... Scattered showers and isolated tstms are occurring across the far west portion of the island due to a cold front approaching. A favorable upper-level divergent environment is helping enhance the ongoing convection. ATLANTIC OCEAN... The remnants of Philippe were absorbed into a cold front that extends into the discussion area from 31N72W to 22N78W. The front is supported aloft by a deep mid-level trough over the eastern US. A pre-frontal trough extends from 29N73W to 21N75W. Scattered showers are occurring within 200 nm to the east of the front and trough. Farther east, a mid-level trough supports a 1010 mb surface low centered near 31N47W. A cold front extends from the low to 23N55W. Scattered showers are noted with this front between 41W-54W. The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a surface ridge axis extending from the Azores to 20N39W. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ ERA