000 AXNT20 KNHC 110004 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 804 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2315 UTC. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 32W from 14N southward, moving westward 15 knots. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong from 13N between 25W and 40W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 42W/43W from 15N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 13N southward between 40W and 50W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along71W/72W from 20N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots, across Hispaniola. Convective precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong in Hispaniola between 70W and 72W. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 85W/87W, from 23N southward, moving westward 10 knots. This wave is in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. Convective precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong in the Yucatan Peninsula from 20N northward. Isolated moderate in northern Guatemala. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... The Monsoon Trough passes through Senegal near 15N17W, to 10N25W, 08N35W, and 09N41W. The ITCZ is along 09N44W 08N52W, to the coast of Guyana near 07N58W. Convective precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong elsewhere, away from the tropical waves, from 06N to 10N from 22W eastward. ...DISCUSSION... ...THE GULF OF MEXICO... An upper level cyclonic circulation center is in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, about halfway between NW Cuba and eastern Honduras. Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Gulf of Mexico from 90W eastward. Convective precipitation: scattered strong from 27N to 30N between 81W and 83W in Florida and coastal waters in the Gulf of Mexico. Broad upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers the Gulf of Mexico from 90W westward. Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow spans the area, except for a surface trough that is in the SW corner of the area. A surface ridge extends from a 1019 mb high pressure center that is near 28N85W, into the west central Gulf of Mexico, curving sharply to a 1020 mb high pressure center that is in the coastal plains of Mexico near 20N98W. A surface trough is along 96W from 19N to 24N. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong from 25N southward from 94W westward. ...CURRENT CONDITIONS AND WEATHER, FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES, THAT ARE IN THE AREA WHOSE BOUNDARIES ARE FROM 27N NORTHWARD AND FROM 88W WESTWARD... LIFR: none. IFR: KVAF. MVFR: KVQT. CURRENT CONDITIONS AND WEATHER, FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A., FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA... LOUISIANA: MVFR in Lafayette. rain has ended for the moment in Baton Rouge. light rain around the immediate southern part of Lake Pontchartrain. rain and thunder have ended for the moment in Galliano. MISSISSIPPI: rain and thunder are in the Hattiesburg metropolitan area. ALABAMA: rainshowers and thunder from Fort Rucker to Dothan. FLORIDA: rainshowers and thunder in Crestview. rainshowers and thunder from Sarasota to Brooksville. rain and thunder have ended for the moment in Punta Gorda. rain has ended for the moment in Naples. ...THE CARIBBEAN SEA... Upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers the Caribbean Sea from 17N southward between 63W and Nicaragua. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, about halfway between NW Cuba and eastern Honduras. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 16N northward from 80W westward. The monsoon trough is along 09N/10N between 75W at the coast of Colombia and beyond Costa Rica. Convective precipitation: scattered strong from 10N to 13N between 80W and Nicaragua, in coastal areas of Colombia from 10N to 11N between 74W and 76W, and from 05N to 09N between 76W and 79W in Colombia and Panama, and in the eastern Pacific Ocean coastal waters. 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 11/0000 UTC, according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...are: 0.31 in Curacao, 0.02 in Guadeloupe, and a TRACE in Montego Bay in Jamaica, and in Trinidad. ...HISPANIOLA... Upper level southerly wind flow is moving across Haiti. A weakening upper level cyclonic circulation center is in the Atlantic Ocean, about 120 nm to the NNE of Hispaniola. Variable upper level wind flow covers the Dominican Republic. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...for Port-au-Prince in Haiti: VFR. scattered cumulonimbus clouds. for the DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Barahona: VFR. few cumulonimbus. Santo Domingo and La Romana: VFR. few cumulonimbus. Punta Cana: VFR. Santiago: VFR. few cumulonimbus clouds. Puerto Plata: MVFR. ceiling 2000 feet. ...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... An upper level trough passes is within 300 nm to the west of the coast of Africa, passing on top of the Canary Islands. Rainshowers are possible from 26N northward from 30W eastward. A surface trough extends from a 1013 mb low pressure center that is near 22N64W, the remnants of a T.D. FOUR, to 30N64W. Convective precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong from 20N to 24N between 60W and 66W. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is 28N58W, about 480 nm to the NE of the remnant of T.D. FOUR. Convective precipitation: rainshowers are possible from 23N to 31N between 50W and 60W. A surface trough is along 41W/42W from 18N to 24N. Convective precipitation: rainshowers are possible from 16N to 24N between 40W and 46W. A surface trough is along 53W from 14N to 19N. Convective precipitation: rainshowers are possible from 12N to 22N between 50W and 56W. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$