000 AXNT20 KNHC 221839 CCA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...CORRECTED NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 205 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2016 CORRECTED IN ORDER TO INCLUDE SPECIAL FEATURE SECTION Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Gale-force winds are being forecast for the following areas: AGADIR and CANARIAS. Please refer to the METEO-FRANCE High Seas Forecast, that is listed under the following links: MARINE...BULLETINS EXPERTISES...GRAND LARGE...METAREA II, or on the website: WWW.METEOFRANCE.COM/PREVISIONS-METEO-MARINE/ BULLETIN/GRANDLARGE/METAREA2. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 31W/32W from 22N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 KNOTS. Convective precipitation: in the area of the Monsoon Trough. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 76W/77W, from southeastern Cuba, across eastern Jamaica, into the southwestern corner of the Caribbean Sea, moving westward 10 to 15 KNOTS. Convective precipitation: numerous strong was covering the area from 08N to 11N between 76W and 78W at 22/0915 UTC. That precipitation has weakened and any remnant precipitation is from 11N to 12N between 77W and 78W. The monsoon trough extends from 08N75W in Colombia beyond 07N83W in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Convective precipitation: numerous strong from 11N southward between 80W and land. Other convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 13N northward between 77W and 83W, and from 19N northward from 83W westward. A Yucatan Peninsula tropical wave is along 88W/89W from 22N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 KNOTS. No significant deep convective precipitation. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... The Monsoon Trough passes through the coastal areas of Senegal near 14N17W to 12N19W, to 12N30W and 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 07N40W to 05N47W. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong within 120 NM on either side of 08N14W 10N20W 13N25W. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong within 60 NM to 120 NM on either side of 09N24W 07N35W 05N47W. ...DISCUSSION... ...THE GULF OF MEXICO... Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the area that is from 85W eastward. The cyclonic wind flow is sweeping across Florida from the Atlantic Ocean. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 86W eastward. An upper level trough extends from El Salvador into the northwestern corner of the Caribbean Sea, toward central Cuba. Some of the cyclonic wind flow that is moving around the trough reaches the Yucatan Channel and the coastal waters of the northern Yucatan Peninsula in the Gulf of Mexico. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 24N southward between 85W and 88W. Upper level cyclonic wind flow also covers the southwestern corner of the Gulf of Mexico. A diurnal surface trough is along 94W/95W from 23N southward. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate from 22N southward. Upper level anticyclonic wind flow spans the rest of the Gulf of Mexico. The surface pressure gradient is comparatively weak from 24N southward. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate elsewhere. ...FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE IN THE AREA WHOSE BOUNDARIES ARE FROM 27N NORTHWARD AND FROM 88W WESTWARD... VFR/NO CEILINGS. LOW LEVEL CLOUD CEILINGS AND WEATHER...FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS OF THE U.S.A. FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA... TEXAS: VFR/NO CEILINGS. LOUISIANA: MVFR in Lafayette. Rainshowers and thunder in Slidell, and in the New Orleans metropolitan area about the eastern side and the southern side of Lake Pontchartrain. MISSISSIPPI: Rainshowers and thunder have been observed in the southernmost parts of the state, between Louisiana and Alabama. ALABAMA: MVFR in Fort Rucker. Rain in Gulf Shores. Rainshowers and thunder in the Mobile metropolitan area. FLORIDA: Rainshowers and thunder at the Naval Air Station in Pensacola. Rain at the Tyndall AFB in Panama City. MVFR in Marianna. Rainshowers and thunder in Brooksville. Overcast sky at 3300 feet at the MacDill AFB. ...THE CARIBBEAN SEA... An upper level trough extends from El Salvador into the northwestern corner of the Caribbean Sea, toward central Cuba. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate in the northwestern corner of the area. A tropical wave is along 76W/77W. Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for more information about the wave. An upper level anticyclonic circulation center is near 12N74W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 22/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...is 0.24 in Veracruz in Mexico, 0.01 in San Juan and in Bermuda. ...HISPANIOLA... An upper level anticyclonic circulation center is near 12N74W. Upper level W to NW wind flow is crossing Hispaniola. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...for Port-au-Prince in Haiti: VFR. for the Dominican Republic: VFR in Barahona, Santo Domingo, and in Punta Cana, in Santiago and in Puerto Plata. MVFR in La Romana. FOR HISPANIOLA: The GFS MODEL forecast for 250 MB shows that W to NW wind flow will move across the area during day one and into the early part of day two. A cyclonic circulation center approaches Hispaniola from the northeast, spreading cyclonic wind flow across the area during the rest of day two. The GFS MODEL forecast for 500 MB shows that NE wind flow will move across the area. An Atlantic Ocean anticyclonic circulation center will be about 360 NM to the NE of Hispaniola at the start of the 48-hour forecast period. The Atlantic Ocean anticyclonic circulation center that will be affecting Hispaniola at 500 MB also will be affecting the same area at 700 MB. Expect SE wind flow at the start of day one, changing to NE wind flow for much of the next two days. An inverted trough will move across the area during the end of day two. ...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... An upper level trough passes through 32N72W, across Florida, to 27N84W in the Gulf of Mexico. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean to the northwest of the line that passes through 30N60W, to the Windward Passage. A stationary front is along 31N between 60W and 73W. A surface trough 58W/59W from 27N northward. A second surface trough is along 29N63W 28N71W 26N75W. Convective precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong to the northwest of the line that passes through 30N60W to 22N76W near Cuba. Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the area that is from 23N northward between Africa and 54W. A 1032 MB high pressure center is near 41N25W. For additional information please visit http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine $$ MT