000 AXNT20 KNHC 091736 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 PM EDT SAT APR 09 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... EASTERN ATLANTIC GALE WARNING...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE ALONG THE COAST OF MOROCCO. PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...THAT IS LISTED UNDER THE FOLLOWING LINKS...MARINE... BULLETINS EXPERTISES...GRAND LARGE...METAREA II...OR ON THE WEBSITE... WWW.METEOFRANCE.COM/PREVISIONS-METEO-MARINE/BULLETIN/ GRANDLARGE/METAREA2. EXPECT GALE-FORCE WINDS IN AGADIR UNTIL 10/1200 UTC. CARIBBEAN GALE WARNING FORECAST... ON 10/0600 UTC A GALE IS AGAIN FORECAST FOR AN AREA N OF N COLOMBIA FROM 10.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W WITH NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 35 KT AND SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 07N12W TO 05N15W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 05N15W TO THE EQUATOR AT 30W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 02S45W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 03N-06N BETWEEN 03W-12W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 15W-31W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... AS OF 1500 UTC...A 1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER SE LOUISIANA NEAR 30N90W. 10-20 KT ANTICYCLONIC WINDS ARE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE E GULF. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS N OF 27N W OF 93W. ELSEWHERE... A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 21N90W TO 17N92W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 20N. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF WITH UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE NW GULF. EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR A SURFACE HIGH TO BE CENTERED OVER NORTH CAROLINA PRODUCING 15-20 KT E TO SE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. CARIBBEAN SEA... AS OF 1500 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER W CUBA FROM 23N80W TO 22N85W. THIS FRONT IS VOID OF PRECIPITATION. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE S BAHAMAS AND HISPANIOLA FROM 22N72W TO 18N72W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE S BAHAMAS...HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA AND E CUBA. ELSEWHERE...A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 10N75W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER N COLOMBIA. TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN E OF 80W. 25-30 KT WINDS ARE NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. LIGHTER WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE E OF 80W. MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 60W-65W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ZONAL FLOW IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA TO THE CARIBBEAN AT 70W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TAIL END OF THE COLD FRONT TO BE OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WITH SHOWERS. HISPANIOLA... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER HISPANIOLA DUE TO A SURFACE TROUGH. EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR MORE SHOWERS TO BE OVER HAITI DUE TO THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ATLANTIC OCEAN... AS OF 1500 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N71W TO THE N BAHAMAS AT 24N78W TO W CUBA AT 23N80W. THIS FRONT IS VOID OF PRECIPITATION. SURFACE RIDGING IS OVER THE ATLANTIC FROM 15N-30N BETWEEN 15W-60W. A GALE IS ALONG THE COAST OF MOROCCO. SEE ABOVE. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF 20N W OF 70W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE TROUGH IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 65W-70W. EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 31N62W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WITH SHOWERS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORMOSA