000 AXNT20 KNHC 072350 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 PM EDT THU APR 07 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2315 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 11N15W TO THE EQUATOR AT 21W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS ANALYZED S OF THE EQUATOR. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 03N-05N BETWEEN 13W-15W...AND ALSO FROM 00N-02N BETWEEN 22W-26W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO THE NE GULF NEAR 29N83W...THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 25N90W...TO NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO AT 24N97W. LIMITED MOISTURE IS PRESENT WITH THIS BOUNDARY WITH ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE OUT AHEAD OF IT. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IS LOCATED 105 NM AHEAD OF THE FRONT TO THE E OF 85W. THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT WHILE THE EASTERN PORTION CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE S ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF FLORIDA. A NEW COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP DOWN INTO THE BASIN FROM THE N BY EARLY FRI REACHING FROM TAMPA BAY FLORIDA TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY FRI EVENING...THEN EXITING OFF TO THE SE EARLY SAT. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THIS NEXT FRONT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. RATHER BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. CARIBBEAN SEA... NO SURFACE FEATURES ARE CURRENTLY ANALYZED ACROSS THE BASIN WITH THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATING MAINLY BENIGN WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE EXCEPTION IS OFFSHORE OF THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA AND THE GULF OF VENEZUELA...WHERE A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PRESENT BETWEEN 1004 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 08N72W AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING LOCATED TO THE NE OF THE BASIN. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HISPANIOLA... LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOUND ON EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND OROGRAPHIC LIFTING CONTINUES TO ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS THE ISLAND. ANY CONVECTION WILL DIMINISH SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N50W TO 24N60W...WITH THE WESTERN REMNANTS NOW IN THE FORM OF A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THERE TO 24N65W TO 22N72W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CAN BE FOUND N OF 27N WITHIN 90-150 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT ...WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE NEAR THE BOUNDARIES. THE FRONT AND TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THROUGH TONIGHT. A NEW COLD FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF MOVING INTO THE FAR NW PORTION FROM THE NE FLORIDA/SE GEORGIA COASTS. ISOLATED TSTMS THAT WERE OCCURRING JUST AHEAD OF THIS FRONT HAVE DIMINISHED IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO REACH FROM 31N75W TO NW CUBA BY FRI MORNING...THEN WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH SAT MORNING. YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS FRI EVENING...MOVING SE AND GRADUALLY MERGING WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE FIRST FRONT THROUGH LATE SAT. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL ATLC BASIN WITH LITTLE CHANGE ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ LEWITSKY