000 AXNT20 KNHC 021039 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 AM EDT SAT APR 02 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1030 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...GULF OF MEXICO GALE AREA... A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N86W TO 20N97W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP W OF A LINE FROM 23N97W TO 19N95W. THIS GALE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST UNTIL EARLY SUN. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST PRODUCT UNDER THE AWIPS/WMO HEADER HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM WEST AFRICA NEAR 08N13W TO 05N16W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 05N16W TO 05S36W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 15W-32W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE NE GULF SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM 30N86W TO 20N97W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SW GULF. PLEASE REFER TO THE SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PREVAIL ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE FRONT MAINLY N OF 28N AND E OF 86W. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN...FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS. EXPECT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE FRONT TO CONTINUE MOVING E ENHANCING CONVECTION ACROSS THE E GULF AND FLORIDA PENINSULA. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. CARIBBEAN SEA... A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC EXTENDING SW REACHING THE CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PREVAIL ACROSS THE NE PORTION OF THE BASIN AFFECTING HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...AND ADJACENT WATERS N OF 16N. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE SE WINDS PREVAIL W OF 70W. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE IN CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HISPANIOLA... ISOLATED SHOWERS PREVAIL ACROSS THE ISLAND AT THIS TIME. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS APPROACHING THE EASTERN US COAST ENHANCING CONVECTION ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC MAINLY W OF 77W. TO THE E...A 1033 MB HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN CENTERED NEAR 35N45W. S OF THIS FEATURE...A SHEAR LINE EXTENDS FROM 25N40W TO 31N22W THEN TRANSITIONS INTO A COLD FRONT AND EXTENDS NE. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AT THIS TIME. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A MODERATE TO FRESH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE BASIN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO ENTER THE W ATLANTIC ENHANCING CONVECTION AND WINDS/SEAS. THE SHEAR LINE WILL DISSIPATE WHILE THE SURFACE HIGH WILL DRIFT E. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ ERA