000 AXNT20 KNHC 281724 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 PM EDT MON MAR 28 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ZONES IRVING...MADEIRA AND METEOR. PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...THAT IS LISTED UNDER THE FOLLOWING LINKS...MARINE...BULLETINS EXPERTISES...GRAND LARGE...METAREA II...OR ON THE WEBSITE... WWW.METEOFRANCE.COM/PREVISIONS-METEO- MARINE/BULLETIN/GRANDLARGE/METAREA2. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF W AFRICA NEAR 07N12W TO THE TROPICAL E ATLANTIC WATERS NEAR 03N20W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N20W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 02S42W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS W OF 27W BETWEEN 02S-06N. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW GULF AND NORTHERN MEXICO FROM 29N90W TO 24N98W TO 31N108W. ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY. TO THE E...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 27N90W TO 29N83W THEN CONTINUES OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE W ATLANTIC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PREVAILS ALONG THE FRONT. A PERSISTENT SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE EXTENDS FROM 25N88W TO 19N93W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONTS WHILE LIGHT TO GENTLE SOUTHERLIES PREVAIL AHEAD OF THE FRONT. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO STALL OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND E GULF. THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL TRANSITION INTO A COLD FRONT MOVING E AND CATCHING UP WITH THE LINGERING BOUNDARY PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED. THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL WEAKEN. CARIBBEAN SEA... THE BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT DOMINATES THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC ALSO EXTENDS S ACROSS THE BASIN. SHALLOW MOISTURE TRANSPORTED BY THE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED CONVECTION MAINLY OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES AND NORTHERN CARIBBEAN WATERS. SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HISPANIOLA... ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EASTERLY TRADES WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER THE ISLAND. THIS WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC FROM 29N81W TO 32N77W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OBSERVED ALONG AND E OF THE FRONT MAINLY N OF 29N BETWEEN 71W- 79W. TO THE E AND DOMINATING THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN...A SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 29N51W...A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 31N28W...AND A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 25N11W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS A MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT OVER THE W ATLANTIC WHILE A MODERATE TO FRESH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND E ATLANTIC. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO STALL OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND W ATLANTIC. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE SE US COAST MERGING WITH THE OLD BOUNDARY ENHANCING CONVECTION AND WINDS/SEAS. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FAR E ATLANTIC. PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE DETAILS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ ERA