000
AXNT20 KNHC 261739 AAA
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
105 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL  
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... 

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE W AFRICA COAST AND OVER THE
TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 07N11W TO 03N18W...WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND
CONTINUES TO 02N30W TO 01N42W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
S OF 05N BETWEEN 38W AND 52W. 

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...   
 
A 1032 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN TX SUPPORTING MODERATE
TO FRESH N TO NE WINDS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF BASIN
TODAY. A SURFACE TROUGH...INDICATED BY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE
NORTHERLY WINDS...EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FL TO 27N87W TO 27N94W.
AN AREA OF CLOUD COVER AND LIGHT RAIN COVERS THE SW GULF S OF
23N W OF 94W. NO PRECIPITATION OF NOTE IS OCCURRING OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE HIGH WILL
SLIDE EAST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. WINDS WILL RESPOND BY
GRADUALLY VEERING TO THE NE THEN EAST. SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE OVER THE SW GULF THROUGH TONIGHT.  

CARIBBEAN SEA...   
 
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM EASTERN CUBA NEAR 20N76W TO
19N79W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO A STATIONARY FRONT TO 19N81W TO
15N84W AND INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 180 NM N OF THE FRONT. FRESH NE WINDS ARE N OF THE FRONT.
GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS COVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS WITHIN
90 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 73W AND 77W. LITTLE
CHANGE IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
 
HISPANIOLA...                              

A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE MAINLY OVER THE WINDWARD LOCATIONS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE OVER HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE AREA FROM THE NW. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWER
ACTIVITY TO THE ISLAND TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN...     

AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH
THAT EXTENDS TO 31N71W TO CENTRAL FL NEAR 28N81W...AND A COLD
FRONT THAT ENTERS THE AREA OF DISCUSSION NEAR 31N75W TO CENTRAL
CUBA NEAR 23N80W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 120
NM NW OF THE FRONT. MODERATE TO FRESH NW WINDS ARE NW OF THE
FRONT. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N46W SUPPORTS
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN 35W AND
47W. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST WITH THE SOUTHERN PORTION BECOMING STATIONARY. SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE ALONG THE FRONT. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$ 
LATTO