000 AXNT20 KNHC 241141 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 AM EST SUN JAN 24 2016 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1130 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... A BROAD SYSTEM OF LOW PRES IS ANCHORED BY THREE CENTERS...A 988 MB LOW NEAR 37N71W...A SECOND 988 MB LOW NEAR 41N60W AND A 984 MB LOW NEAR 40N66W. THIS BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT ENTERS THE AREA OF DISCUSSION NEAR 31N63W AND CONTINUES ALONG 21N71W ACROSS WESTERN HAITI TO NORTHERN PANAMA NEAR 09N81W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING N OF 28.5N BETWEEN 67W AND 74W WITH SEAS RANGING FROM 16 TO 21 FT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 07N11W TO 05N15W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES ALONG 02N32W TO THE COAST OF NORTHERN BRAZIL NEAR 01S48W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE FROM 01N TO 04N BETWEEN 17W AND 28W AND FROM 01S TO 03N BETWEEN 32W AND 40W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... WINDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF HAS DIMINISHED FROM FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLIES TO GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AS THE COLD FRONT IN THE SW N ATLC CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD...THUS FURTHER RELAXING THE PRES GRADIENT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND PROVIDES GENTLE RETURN FLOW. DEEP LAYER DRY AIR COVERS THE BASIN IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY IN THE SW N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE BASIN THROUGH LATE MONDAY. WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BASIN WILL START TO VEER TONIGHT AS THE RIDGE MOVES E. FRESH TO STRONG RETURN FLOW IS LIKELY OVER THE W BASIN STARTING LATE TODAY TROUGH LATE MON...AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT TO ENTER THE NW GULF WATERS EARLY TUE MORNING. CARIBBEAN SEA... A BROAD SYSTEM OF LOW PRES IS ANCHORED BY THREE CENTERS...A 988 MB LOW NEAR 37N71W...A SECOND 988 MB LOW NEAR 41N60W AND A 984 MB LOW NEAR 40N66W. THIS BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT ENTERS THE AREA OF DISCUSSION ACROSS WESTERN HAITI FROM 19N73W TO 18N74W TO NORTHERN PANAMA NEAR 09N81W. RAINSHOWERS ARE BEING REPORTED WITHIN 120 NM WEST OF THE FRONT...INCLUDING EASTERN CUBA AND THE SW CARIBBEAN...WHILE HAZE AND COVERS JAMAICA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ACROSS THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AS WELL AS WESTERN HISPANIOLA. SURFACE DATA SHOW FRESH TO STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT...INCLUDING NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA ADJACENT WATERS WHERE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS WERE OBSERVED EARLIER. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS COVER THE REMAINDER BASIN. BY TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND STALL ACROSS THE REMAINDER CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. BY LATE MONDAY FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE SW TO HISPANIOLA SOUTHERN ADJACENT WATERS. ...HISPANIOLA... A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN ISLAND AND SUPPORT CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS THAT EXTEND TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER ISLAND TODAY THROUGH LATE MONDAY WHEN THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE SW TO HISPANIOLA SOUTHERN ADJACENT WATERS. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THE UPPER TROUGH THAT SUPPORT THE FRONT AND RIDGING TO THE EAST WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLAND TODAY THROUGH LATE MONDAY. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT ACROSS THE W ATLANTIC ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT ENTERS THE AREA OF DISCUSSION AS A COLD FRONT NEAR 30N64W...CONTINUING TO WESTERN HISPANIOLA TO NORTHERN PANAMA. SEE SPECIAL FEATURES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE OBSERVED WITHIN 300 NM AHEAD OF THE FRONT N OF 22N. TO THE E...ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM IS AHEAD OF A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER ANCHORED NEAR 30N42W. THE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N26W SW TO 22N40W WHERE IT STALLS TO 22N51W. THE WESTERNMOST FRONT WILL MOVE N OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT SW ACROSS EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WHERE IT STALLS TO CENTRAL PANAMA. ON MON NIGHT THE COLD FRONT WILL BE AT THE CENTRAL ATLC WHERE IT WILL STALL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ NR