000
AXNT20 KNHC 100001
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST SAT JAN 09 2016

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL  
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
                                         
AN OCCLUDED 992 MB LOW IS ANALYZED W OF BERMUDA NEAR 34N56W WITH
THE FRONTAL TRIPLE POINT LOCATED NE OF THE LOW NEAR 35N50W. ITS
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDS SE FROM THE TRIPLE POINT TO 30N53W
TO N OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 18N68W. SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTS GALE
FORCE WINDS AROUND THE LOW CENTER WHILE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE NOTED WELL N OF THE LOW. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS
FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...    
                                
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW COAST OF AFRICA NEAR
06N11W TO 05N15W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS
EXTENDS FROM 05N15W TO 00N35W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR
02S45W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS.   

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...                                           

A 1004 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR
30N88W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE ALONG 24N90W 18N94W. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS E FROM THE
LOW TO N FLORIDA TO 29N81W. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS ALONG
THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM 30N94W TO 28N97W. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ARE OVER THE NE GULF AND FLORIDA IN THE WARM
SECTOR N OF 25N AND E OF 86W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A 125 KT
JETSTREAM IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF N OF 27N WITH SCATTERED TO
BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO
EXTEND FROM S FLORIDA TO THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH SHOWERS
AND CONVECTION. THE REINFORCING FRONT WILL IN 24 HOURS BE MERGED
WITH THE COLD FRONT. 

CARIBBEAN SEA...  
                                             
10-15 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE OVER THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO
...AND HISPANIOLA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
CENTERED S OF HISPANIOLA. THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN HAS VERY STRONG
SUBSIDENCE SUPPRESSING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. EXPECT OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR CONTINUED SHOWERS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF
70W...AND MORE SHOWERS AND CONVECTION OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN DUE
TO THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT.  

...HISPANIOLA...     
                                  
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE PRESENTLY OVER THE ISLAND. THE TAIL END OF
A COLD FRONT IS ALSO NE OF HISPANIOLA MOVING E. EXPECT A
CLEARING TREND OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SHOWERS MOSTLY S OF
THE ISLAND MOVING W WITH THE TRADEWINDS. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN... 
                                              
A 1011 MB LOW IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 31N79W. A COLD FRONT
EXTENDS SW TO N FLORIDA AT 29N81W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN
90 NM OF THE FRONT. A GALE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 34N56W. A COLD
FRONT EXTENDS S TO N OF HISPANIOLA. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. A 1021 MN HIGH IS OVER THE E
ATLANTIC NEAR 25N22W. EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE E OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SHOWERS.  

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORMOSA