000 AXNT20 KNHC 250605 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 105 AM EST WED NOV 25 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH IS INLAND IN AFRICA. THE ITCZ CONTINUES THROUGH 07N12W TO 04N20W 05N28W 07N47W...AND TO 07N58W NEAR GUYANA IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH AMERICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 10W AND 60W. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 18N SOUTHWARD FROM 66W IN VENEZUELA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA EASTWARD TO AFRICA. ...DISCUSSION... ...THE GULF OF MEXICO... BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW CURVES AWAY FROM TROPICAL STORM SANDRA THAT IS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN... INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. MOSTLY UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS PRESENT NOW. MIDDLE LEVEL NORTHEAST-TO-EAST WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM 13N IN NICARAGUA TO 23N BETWEEN THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF MEXICO. NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE BLOWING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM GEORGIA...INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...TO THE LOWER TEXAS GULF COAST...TO NORTHEASTERN COASTAL MEXICO...INTO THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. PLEASE READ THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFEP2/FZPN03 KNHC...AND THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...MIATWDEP/AXPZ20 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS. ...FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...ACROSS CUBA...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N65W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...TO 27N67W...TO 19N63W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W...TO 25N65W...THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...TO 19N79W IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. THE FRONT IS STATIONARY FROM 19N79W TO 19N86W TO 16N88W IN COASTAL HONDURAS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG 30N56W 25N59W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 300 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N58W 28N59W 20N68W. IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W. ...THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA... CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LINE FROM 20N67W TO 17N70W 14N80W TO 10N83W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 70W WESTWARD. THIS ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS PART OF THE EASTERN EXTENSION OF THE RIDGE THAT RUNS FROM SOUTHERN MEXICO INTO TEXAS. A RIDGE IS ALONG 14N/15N FROM 60W WESTWARD. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS IN VENEZUELA. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW EXTENDS FROM A SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA 12N65W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO 10N67W AND 08N69W IN VENEZUELA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS COVER VENEZUELA FROM 05N NORTHWARD FROM 67W EASTWARD. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 09N/10N BETWEEN 73W IN COLOMBIA AND 83W/84W IN SOUTHERN COSTA RICA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... WEAKENING RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 84W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 25/0000 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.18 IN BERMUDA. ...HISPANIOLA... UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING ACROSS HISPANIOLA AT THE PRESENT TIME. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS...FOR PORT-AU-PRINCE IN HAITI...THE OBSERVATION FOR 25/0200 UTC SHOWS FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS. IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...FEW TO SCATTERED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING REPORTED FROM SANTO DOMINGO TO PUNTA CANA. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN SANTIAGO AND IN PUERTO PLATA. ...THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N42W TO 26N50W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 22N TO 28N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W...AND FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 46W AND 50W. A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N36W TO 25N45W TO 17N52W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 10N NORTHWARD FROM THE 32N42W-TO-26N50W SURFACE TROUGH. A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N54W TO 25N44W TO 19N51W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT