000
AXNT20 KNHC 080551
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
105 AM EST SUN FEB 08 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL  
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0515 UTC.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...                                     

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL 
ATLC NEAR 09N13W TO 04N19W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES 
TO 02N30W TO 01S45W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 1N-3N 
BETWEEN 17W-22W...AND FROM 0N-3N BETWEEN 27W-45W. 
  
...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO... 

A 1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA NEAR 
31N74W. THE GULF OF MEXICO HAS 10-15 KT SE TO S RETURN FLOW WITH 
STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE NW GULF. PATCHES OF RESIDUAL BROKEN LOW 
CLOUDS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THE GULF 
IS VOID OF PRECIPITATION. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE YUCATAN 
CHANNEL S OF 23N86W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ZONAL FLOW IS OVER 
THE GULF WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
FOR THE SURFACE TROUGH TO MOVE N TO THE CENTRAL GULF WITH 
SHOWERS. 

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN FROM THE YUCATAN 
CHANNEL AT 23N86W TO 17N83W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 16N-19N 
BETWEEN 83W-87W. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT IS OVER NORTHERN 
HISPANIOLA FROM 20N70W TO 19N75W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 
30 NM OF THE FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALSO OVER THE E 
CARIBBEAN S OF 18N E OF 68W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ZONAL FLOW 
WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROUGH TO MOVE N. RESIDUAL SHOWERS WILL 
REMAIN OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND CUBA. 
                                               
...HISPANIOLA...  

THE PROXIMITY OF THE COLD FRONT OVER HISPANIOLA CONTINUES TO 
ENHANCE THE MOISTURE CONTENT SUPPORTING POSSIBLE SCATTERED 
SHOWERS. EXPECT MORE SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO NE 
ONSHORE FLOW. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN... 

A 1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA NEAR 
31N74W. A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC FROM 32N47W TO 
23N60W TO HISPANIOLA AT 20N70W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 
NM E OF FRONT N OF 27N. A SMALL 1021 MB HIGH IS FURTHER E NEAR 
26N44W. A 1012 MB LOW IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 27N26W. A COLD 
FRONT EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW ALONG 26N23W 22N26W 18N30W. IN THE 
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC W OF 
50W SUPPORTING THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC COLD FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL 
LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N23W SUPPORTING THE E ATLANTIC COLD 
FRONT. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR BOTH FRONTS TO MOVE E 
WITH CONVECTION AND SHOWERS. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$ 

FORMOSA