000 AXNT20 KNHC 022335 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 PM EST MON FEB 02 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2315 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ATLANTIC...COLD FRONT IS OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST FROM 31N79W TO 29N81W. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE N OF 29N E OF FRONT TO 65W. SEA HEIGHTS IN THIS REGION RANGE FROM 9 TO 13 FT. GALE-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE INFORMATION. CARIBBEAN...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 79W. SEA HEIGHTS IN THIS REGION RANGE FROM 10 TO 14 FT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY EVENING. SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE INFORMATION. GULF OF MEXICO...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE WESTERN GULF S OF 21N W OF 95W. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE-FORCE TUESDAY. SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE INFORMATION. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 6N11W TO 4N17W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 0N30W TO THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 2S44W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 0N-2N BETWEEN 31W-36W...AND FROM 1S- 3N BETWEEN 43W-52W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA AT 28N80W TO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO AT 22N94W TO VERACRUZ MEXICO AT 19N96W. A GALE IS OVER THE SW GULF S OF 21N W OF 95W. SEE ABOVE. 20-30 KT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF FRONT. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR BROWNSVILLE TEXAS FROM 25N-27N BETWEEN 97W-100W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS S OF THE FRONT. PRESENTLY AIR TEMPERATURES DIFFER FROM N FLORIDA TO S FLORIDA BY 25 DEGREES. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...BROAD RIDGING IS OVER THE GULF WITH WESTERLY FLOW. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE N OF A LINE FROM S FLORIDA TO THE CENTRAL GULF AT 24N90W TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 18N94W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE SE GULF. EXPECT THE COLD FRONT IN 24 HOURS TO EXTEND FROM W CUBA TO SRN BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH SHOWERS OR CONVECTION. CARIBBEAN SEA... GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 79W. 10-30 KT TRADEWINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM 19N60W TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AT 19N68W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF FRONT. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER JAMAICA. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...BROAD RIDGING WITH WESTERLY FLOW IS OVER THE AREA WITH VERY STRONG SUBSIDENCE. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE COLD FRONT TO DISSIPATE. HISPANIOLA... RESIDUAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT IS MOSTLY OVER SE HISPANIOLA AND S OF THE ISLAND. THIS MOIST AIRMASS WILL LINGER IN THE REGION FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATLANTIC OCEAN... AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT IS OFF THE COAST OF N FLORIDA FROM 31N77W TO 28N80W. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE N OF 29N E OF FRONT TO 65W. SEE ABOVE. A 1025 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 29N57W. A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC FROM 31N36W TO 21N50W TO 19N60W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE E OF FRONT FROM 21N-27N BETWEEN 33W-40W. FURTHER E...A 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N34W. A 1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR THE AZORES AT 39N23W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 20N40W SUPPORTING THE COLD FRONT. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR BOTH COLD FRONTS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE E WITH SHOWERS OR CONVECTION. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORMOSA