000 AXNT20 KNHC 260016 CCA TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 PM EST SUN NOV 25 2012 CORRECTION IN ORDER TO ADD MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE SOUTH OF 15N TO THE EAST OF 77W TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2315 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SIERRA LEONE NEAR 8N13W TO 7N17W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N17W TO 7N30W 8N41W 8N50W...INTO NORTHERN GUYANA NEAR 7N59W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 7N BETWEEN 14W AND 18W...AND FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 27W AND 33W...ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF 12N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 60W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW SPANS THE GULF OF MEXICO. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR IN SUBSIDENCE ALSO COVERS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 27N70W... TO NORTHERN ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...THROUGH THE FLORIDA STRAITS...TO COASTAL CUBA NEAR 23N83W...AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 23N89W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 24N TO THE EAST OF 90W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 95W/96W FROM 19N TO 26N. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 20N TO THE WEST OF 93W IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...FROM 20N TO 25N TO THE WEST OF 95W...FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 90W AND 92W...AND TO THE NORTH OF 26N TO THE WEST OF 90W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE TIME PERIOD THAT ENDED AT 25/1200 UTC FOR VERACRUZ MEXICO WAS 0.28 INCHES. A 1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31N86W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF 24N TO THE EAST OF 94W. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE BORDER OF EASTERN HONDURAS/NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA. THE MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW THAT COVERS THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA IS DIFFLUENT...BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY AS IT REACHES AND CROSSES CENTRAL AMERICA. THE REMAINING WIND FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-WESTERLY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 74W/75W FROM 10N TO 18N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W. BROAD SURFACE-TO-LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA TO THE SOUTH OF 15N TO THE EAST OF 77W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE REMNANT PRECIPITATION ARE TO THE SOUTH OF 15N TO THE EAST OF 76W. NUMEROUS STRONG PRECIPITATION WAS FROM THE VENEZUELA COAST TO 14N BETWEEN 64W AND 70W AT 25/1615 UTC. THAT AMOUNT OF CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION HAS DECREASED WITH TIME UNTIL THE CURRENT TIME. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N76W IN COLOMBIA...TO 6N79W IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...TO 8N84W JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...AND BEYOND 8N84W IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N81W...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF 12N TO THE WEST OF 80W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO THE NORTH OF 4N IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TO THE EAST OF 86W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT3...FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS AND 8 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS TO THE SOUTH OF 15N TO THE WEST OF 80W. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 60N...PASSING THROUGH 32N TO 26N. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N59W TO 27N70W...BEYOND ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF 23N BETWEEN 50W AND 70W. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N42W TO 30N44W AND 27N48W. A STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 27N48W TO 23N55W. A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES FROM 23N55W TO 19N62W. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THE AREA OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N38W 27N44W 26N50W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 26N50W 24N56W 19N64W. AN EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 31N18W. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CYCLONIC CENTER TO 21N18W. THIS FEATURE SUPPORTS A 1000 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS NEAR 30N20W...NEAR 32N18W. AN OCCLUDED FRONT CURVES AWAY FROM THE 1000 MB LOW CENTER...A COLD FRONT CONTINUES THROUGH 32N15W...THROUGH THE EASTERN CANARY ISLANDS TO 23N20W AND 22N26W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS TO THE NORTH OF 30N TO THE EAST OF 20W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT 20 KNOT WINDS AND 8 TO 10 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS WITH THE 31N43W 19N63W COLD FRONT...AND 20 KNOT WINDS AND 8 TO 9 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 35W AND 55W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT