000 AXNT20 KNHC 261120 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1115 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS W AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEAR 9N13W TO 6N18W WHERE THE ITCZ AXIS CONTINUES TO EQ29W TO SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 3S42W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 1N-3N BETWEEN 17W-20W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-3S BETWEEN 26W-31W...AND FROM 2N-1S BETWEEN 46W-50W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA NEAR 24N80W TO THE SE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 24N86W. A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES W TO 23N92W TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 18N94W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONTS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE FRONT FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 88W-92W...AND FROM 28N-31N BETWEEN 83W-90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE S OF THE FRONT OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 87W-90W. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE S OF 22N W OF FRONT TO 96W. 25-30 KT NE WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE N OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 40'S AND 50'S OVER THE NORTH GULF STATES. IN CONTRAST S OF THE FRONT 5-10 KT SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70'S. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NW GULF WHILE THE BACK END OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE E GULF E OF 90W PRODUCING SW UPPER LEVEL WINDS. A GOOD AMOUNT OF UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE ALSO BEING ADVECTED FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC ACROSS MEXICO TO THE GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR THE THE FRONT TO RETROGRADE BACK N AS A WARM FRONT TOWARDS CENTRAL FLORIDA THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WITH CONVECTION. CARIBBEAN SEA... GALE FORCE WINDS ARE ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 74W-76W. 20-30 KT TRADEWINDS ARE ELSEWHERE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN. 10-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH WEAKEST WINDS OVER THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA. SIMILAR SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 13N TO INCLUDE OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. MORE SHOWERS ARE INLAND OVER HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH AXIS ALONG 75W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE ENTIRE REGION EXCEPT OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SUPPRESSING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR MORE RAIN AND SHOWERS TO BE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 80W. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 32N63W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA NEAR 24N80W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE FRONT. A 1031 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N38W. A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW TO THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 28N55W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC ALONG 32N25W 29N28W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 28N-32N BETWEEN 18W-24W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED JUST W OF THE CANARY ISLANDS NEAR 30N20W ENHANCING MORE SHOWERS. EXPECT IN 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 32N47W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH SHOWERS. ALSO EXPECT THE E ATLANTIC FRONT TO FURTHER DISSIPATE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORMOSA