000
AXNT20 KNHC 021148
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST THU FEB 02 2012

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1115 UTC.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL GUINEA NEAR 10N14W
TO 6N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 6N19W TO 2N30W TO 2N40W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 10N 
TO 12N BETWEEN 27W AND 33W. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS ARE 
ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF 10N TO THE EAST OF 60W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH BERMUDA TO 31N71W IN THE ATLANTIC 
OCEAN...ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA.....INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF 
OF MEXICO NEAR 27N90W...INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW SPANS THE AREA.
GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OBSERVED AND FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 75W AND 77W IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA.
SEA HEIGHTS RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 FT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE 
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N38W TO 31N40W. A DISSIPATING COLD 
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 31N40W TO 29N45W AND 30N50W. A DISSIPATING 
STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 30N50W TO 30N54W 29N60W AND 
29N68W. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 30N TO 32N 
BETWEEN 45W AND 54W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 
CENTRAL MOROCCO TO 23N25W TO 16N39W AND 6N46W. NO SIGNIFICANT 
DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS APPARENT SOLELY BASED ON 
SATELLITE IMAGERY. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT