000 AXNT20 KNHC 060608 CCA TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT MON JUN 06 2011 CORRECTING THE SPECIAL FEATURE SECTION TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... A 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 17N80W...ABOUT 140 NM TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JAMAICA. THIS LOW CENTER IS CAUGHT UP IN THE BROAD MONSOONAL TROUGH THAT EVENTUALLY EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS NICARAGUA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. SCATTERED STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE WATERS THAT SURROUND JAMAICA WITHIN 75 NM FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST. OTHER RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W. BROAD SURFACE-TO-LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE WEST OF 75W. NUMEROUS STRONG RAINSHOWERS COVER NICARAGUA FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W...AND THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CORNER FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 86W AND THE EASTERN COASTAL PLAINS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHER RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE WATERS THAT ARE TO THE WEST OF 75W. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY. HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN SECTIONS OF HAITI AND JAMAICA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ...TROPICAL WAVES... AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 11N45W 7N42W 3N42W MOVING WESTWARD 10-15 KT. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16N52W 12N55W 9N56W MOVING NORTHWESTWARD 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS AND LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 52W AND 57W. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE PRIME MERIDIAN ALONG 16N TO 17N8W TO 13N16W AND 7N20W. THE ITCZ IS ALONG 7N20W 5N25W 7N42W INTO FRENCH GUIANA AND EVENTUALLY GUYANA NEAR 3N56W. NUMEROUS STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVER AFRICA AND ADJACENT WATERS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 14W AND 19W... FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 24W AND 39W...AND FROM 2N TO 6N BETWEEN 50W AND 57W INCLUDING FRENCH GUIANA AND SURINAME AND ADJACENT WATERS. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE WEST OF THE LINE THAT GOES FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TO THE EASTERN ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. THIS FLOW IS MOVING AROUND A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 24N93W. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM AN ATLANTIC OCEAN 1016 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 30N76W TO A 1013 MB HIGH CENTER THAT IS NEAR 28N88W...TO A 1016 MB HIGH CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N96W INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... THE 1007 MB WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA LOW PRESSURE IS GRABBING ALL THE ATTENTION AT THE MOMENT. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ARE WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 72W... AND ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 58W AND 65W. THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 38N60W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF THE LINE THAT PASSES THROUGH 33N46W 20N59W TOWARD THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N54W TO 27N60W TO 26N73W. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION THAT IS DISCERNIBLE ONLY BY SATELLITE IMAGERY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N51W TO 22N53W 21N60W 20N65W. NUMEROUS STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 24N TO 26N BETWEEN 43W AND 46W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTH OF 22N TO THE EAST OF 30W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW MOVES AROUND A RIDGE THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N31W TO 23N39W TO 16N46W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT