000 AXNT20 KNHC 240603 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...THE ITCZ... FROM THE BORDER OF GUINEA/SIERRA LEONE NEAR 9N13W TO 2N34W... INTO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL/FRENCH GUIANA/CENTRAL SURINAME NEAR 4N56W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 3N TO 4N BETWEEN 14W AND 16W...AND FROM THE EQUATOR TO 6N BETWEEN 40W AND 51W. ISOLATED AND DISORGANIZED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF 10N. ...DISCUSSION... FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... AND INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE WEST OF 60W... UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS FLORIDA FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE SOUTHWARD...ACROSS WESTERN CUBA...TO A BROAD AND COMPARATIVELY ILL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR 21N83W JUST TO THE SOUTH OF WESTERN CUBA. THE CYCLONIC FLOW ALSO SPANS THE AREA WITH CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR PANAMA AND COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BETWEEN CENTRAL HISPANIOLA AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...AND 88W IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS NEAR 16N68W AND IT GOES TO 23N71W AND BEYOND 32N71W. THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA... A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE PENINSULA DE LA GUAJIRA OF NORTHEASTERN COLOMBIA TO 15N80W. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS AND LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM LAKE MARACAIBO IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA TO 13N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN 72W AND 74W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...ASSOCIATED WITH THE 32N71W 23N71W 16N68W RIDGE. THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THAT IS TO THE EAST OF 60W... AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 27N52W. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 44W AND 66W. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE RIDGE THAT STARTS NEAR 16N68W AND GOES TO 23N71W AND BEYOND 32N71W IS RIDING ON TOP OF THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW THAT IS MOVING TOWARD THE 27N52W CYCLONIC CENTER. A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 27N53W. THIS FEATURE IS BEING CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL 1.5T ACCORDING TO THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 25N51W 20N53W AND 18N58W. SCATTERED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 19N TO 30N BETWEEN 45W AND 53W...AND FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 42W AND 44W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS BEYOND 32N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 36W. NO EASILY- DISCERNIBLE PRECIPITATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 48W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT