000 AXNT20 KNHC 280622 AAA TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT SAT AUG 28 2010 AMENDED IN ORDER TO UPDATE THE DISCUSSION SECTIONS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE AT 28/0600 UTC IS NEAR 28.5N 61.0W...OR ABOUT 300 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA... MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD 9 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC AND THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN 60W AND 63W. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL AT 28/0600 UTC IS NEAR 16.1N 48.6W...OR ABOUT 740 NM TO THE EAST OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS...MOVING WESTWARD 17 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 56 KT. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC AND THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 48W AND 52W. AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 18N23W...ON TOP OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...TO A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 12N25W...BEYOND 6N26W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 7N TO 15N BETWEEN 28W AND 37W. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...TROPICAL WAVES... NO OTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE 28/0000 UTC SURFACE MAP. ...THE ITCZ... 8N13W 9N18W...8N28W 13N38W...11N47W 9N54W TO 10N62W IN NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AFRICA COAST FROM 4N TO 8N...AND FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 44W AND 52W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN UPPER LEVEL NORTHEAST-TO-SOUTHWEST RIDGE SPANS THE AREA. INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN MEXICO TO THE SOUTH OF 20N...AND ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM 22N TO 25N...SURROUNDED BY MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW FROM A CYCLONIC CENTER AND A TROUGH. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SOUTHEASTERN CUBA TO AN 18N81W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER BEYOND CENTRAL NICARAGUA. ELONGATED EAST-TO-WEST MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...UNDER UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS ARE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER TO THE SOUTH OF 10N BETWEEN 80W IN PANAMA AND COSTA RICA...NEAR THE ITCZ. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE COUNTRIES OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA NORTHWARD...IN THE MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS IN BETWEEN THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS AND HURRICANE DANIELLE...SURROUNDED BY DRY AIR IN SUBSIDENCE. PART OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF OF MEXICO RIDGE IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE 24N71W CYCLONIC CENTER THAT IS BETWEEN HURRICANE DANIELLE AND THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS. UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS SOUTH AMERICA AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE SOUTH OF 12N BETWEEN 39W AND 66W. THIS AREA INCLUDES PART OF SOUTH AMERICA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT