000 AXNT20 KNHC 261120 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 AM EDT THU AUG 26 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1015 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE AT 26/0900 UTC IS NEAR 23.4N 54.9W...OR ABOUT 740 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA... MOVING NORTHWESTWARD 14 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC AND THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 52W AND 57W. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL AT 26/0900 UTC IS NEAR 15.2N 34.8W...OR ABOUT 580 NM TO THE WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD 14 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC AND THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER MIATCPAT2/WTNT32 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 35W AND 37W. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16W/17W TO THE SOUTH OF 20N. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN 18W AND 22W. A TROPICAL WAVE GOES FROM CUBA ALONG 81W TO ABOUT 50 NM TO THE EAST OF THE EASTERN HONDURAS/NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA BORDER... TO PANAMA ALONG 82W. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 79W AND 84W. ...THE ITCZ... 11N18W 10N22W 12N28W 9N34W 8N41W 11N54W 12N62W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE TO THE SOUTH OF 10N BETWEEN 30W AND 50W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF 11N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE BEING PULLED NORTHWARD BY HURRICANE DANIELLE...FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 50W AND 57W. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN VENEZUELA FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 64W AND 68W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF 27N TO THE WEST OF 93W...CONTINUING ACROSS ALL OF MEXICO. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MORE THAN ONE INDIVIDUAL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER MAY BE MIXED INTO THE COMPARATIVELY LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN WESTERN COASTAL MEXICO FROM 21N TO 26N. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS COVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WATERS INTO THE CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL GULF WATERS. A STATIONARY FRONT LINGERS IN THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...FROM THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHEASTERN COASTAL WATERS OF THE U.S.A...TO A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N93W...TO 24N96W. A SEPARATE SURFACE TROUGH GOES FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF WATERS INTO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM 17N TO 23N. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 93W AND 95W. FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST OF 60W... INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N71W...ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO CENTRAL CUBA. IT APPEARS THAT THE ORIGINAL TROUGH FROM 24 HOURS AGO HAS WEAKENED...AND THAT THE TROUGH THAT WAS AFFECTING FLORIDA 24 HOURS AGO NOW HAS MOVED EASTWARD...INTO PLACE AFTER THE ORIGINAL ATLANTIC OCEAN TROUGH WEAKENED. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS FROM 20N80W INTO WESTERN HONDURAS. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN SOUTHERN BELIZE AND EASTERN GUATEMALA...AND FROM JUST TO THE SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA TOWARD JAMAICA. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ON THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN SIDE FROM COSTA RICA TO EXTREME SOUTHERN HONDURAS AND NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA. THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA... STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 8N IN COLOMBIA TO 14N BETWEEN 72W IN NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA TO 76W IN COLOMBIA...IN AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT WIND FLOW. UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ALSO IS IN NORTHERN COASTAL COLOMBIA. UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTH OF 17N BETWEEN 60W AND 64W IN THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA. THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... HURRICANE DANIELLE AND TROPICAL STORM EARL COVER THE AREA TO THE SOUTH OF 30N BETWEEN 30W AND 60W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT