000 AXNT20 KNHC 251701 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 PM EDT WED AUG 25 2010 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1715 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... HURRICANE DANIELLE AT 25/1500 UTC IS NEAR 19.6N 52.3W...OR ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. PLEASE READ THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC AND THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 51W-54W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 18N-25N BETWEEN 48W-55W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN IS NEAR 14N28W...OR ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MOVING WEST 15 KT. THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED AT 1500 UTC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 29W-34W. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS INLAND OVER WEST AFRICA ALONG 15W S OF 20N MOVING W AT 20 KT. CYCLONIC TURNING IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DIMINISHED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS FROM 8N-17N BETWEEN 13W-20W. TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FROM 26N68W TO 19N70W TO 12N69W MOVING W AT 18 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN S OF JAMAICA FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 75W-83W. ...THE ITCZ... THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 9N32W TO 8N40W 13N48W. THE ITCZ RESUMES W OF HURCN DANIELLE AT 14N55W AND CONTINUES W TO 13N62W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES AND SPECIAL FEATURES...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 48W-51W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... A 1011 MB LOW IS INLAND OVER SW GEORGIA NEAR 31N84W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS W FROM THE LOW CENTER TO NEAR CORPUS CHRISTIE TEXAS ALONG 29N90W 28N97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE FRONT. A 1009 MB LOW HAS FORMED OVER THE W GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 26N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SE OF THE LOW CENTER FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 87W-92W. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF TAMPA FLORIDA FROM 28N-29N BETWEEN 82W-85W. RADAR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE SE GULF AND S FLORIDA MOVING E. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER CENTRAL TEXAS NEAR 30N100W PRODUCING MAINLY NE UPPER LEVEL WINDS OVER THE GULF. SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE GULF S OF 29N. EXPECT...THE FRONT TO BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN WEATHER. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... 15-20 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEE ABOVE. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO RICO. SIMILAR SHOWERS ARE NOTED OVER THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS E OF 70W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CONTINUED SHOWERS AND CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND W ATLANTIC FROM 25N-32N BETWEEN 75W-80W. A 1021 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 30N58W. ANOTHER 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 29N27W. OF NOTE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED N OF DANIELLE NEAR 27N53W. OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 26N48W. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE CENTER IS ENHANCING THE SHOWERS FROM 26N-29N BETWEEN 50W-52W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N37W. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL SYSTEMS TO MOVE W WITH CONVECTION. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORMOSA